AAPLApple
$358.26+0.95%Delayed market dataConsumer elec. / servicesHardware & networking · 12 peers →Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $338.30 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $359.37 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
AAPL +0.96% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average -7.45% (AAOI, ANET, COHR, CSCO, DELL, HPE)
2026-11-13T16:38:29.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
89 direct · 22 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact6.5%AdverseDirectApple Lost About $140 Billion After Hours as Its New CEO Calls Memory Prices “Unprecedented”10d ago
With Apple’s enormous revenue base and high gross margin, a memory cost spike can erode hardware margins across iPhone, iPad, and Mac, creating a meaningful earnings headwind even if the hit is only a few percentage points.
Also named: MU · 005930.KS · 000660.KS · 2317.TW · HPQ · DELL
A softer margin outlook undercuts the market’s pricing of Apple’s high-margin services and hardware mix, narrowing room for further margin expansion and pressuring the valuation multiple.
Also named: SSNLF · 2379.HK · QCOM · AVGO · TSM · DELL
- #3Impact4.2%FavorableDirectApple posts record September quarter under new CEO as iPhone, Mac sales surge11d ago
Stronger-than-expected iPhone and Mac revenue matters meaningfully at Apple’s very large revenue base, improving pricing for the current quarter and forward guidance.
Also named: QCOM · SWKS · HPQ · DELL · MU · 2330.TW
- #4Impact3.8%FavorableDirectWhat to Expect in Markets This Week: Apple, Palantir Report; October Jobs Data Lands12d ago
With only seven analysts and a very tight estimate range, AAPL is already heavily priced for earnings; the incremental catalyst will be management’s forward guidance on iPhone demand, gross margin and Services growth, not a small headline beat.
Also named: QCOM · SWKS · QRVO · AVGO · TSM · AMAT
- #5Impact3.5%FavorableDirectApple FYQ4 Revenue Tops Forecasts On iPhone Sales As New CEO John Ternus Steps Out11d ago
iPhone accounts for the bulk of Apple’s revenue, so upside in unit sales directly boosts hardware revenue and expands the installed base for Services.
Also named: SSNLF · GOOGL · QCOM · TSM · 005930.KS · 2317.TW
With revenue already at $416.2 billion and the latest quarter still up 16.4% year over year, another strong print would reinforce that iPhone replacement demand and services subscriptions can sustain massive cash generation at scale.
Also named: SONY · AVGO · QCOM · TSM · GOOGL · SPOT
Apple’s enormous revenue base and near-49% gross margin mean that continued hardware and services resilience would directly support earnings and valuation.
Also named: META · GOOG · GOOGL · QCOM · SWKS · NVDA
A sustained AI lag could weaken premium iPhone upgrade demand and ecosystem stickiness, though Apple’s 46.9% gross margin and $416B+ revenue base limit the near-term earnings hit.
Also named: SSNLF · AVGO · QCOM · TSM · GOOGL · MSFT
Services is one of Apple's highest-margin growth engines and a key driver of its valuation premium; if AI costs are rising while services growth slows, investors will mark down both margin and long-term compounding assumptions.
Also named: GOOGL · MSFT · NFLX · ADBE · CRM · NVDA
As the reporting company, a steady revenue and guidance profile would lift expectations for full-year cash flow and buybacks.
Also named: 005930.KS · 2317.TW · 2498.TW · 2330.TW · ASML · AVGO
The rest, archived by time · 101
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $478.8B · latest quarter up 16.4% YoY · reported FY net income of $132.2B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$478.8B
2026-09
Latest Q YoY
+16.4%
Gross margin
48.8%
FY net income
$132.2B
Diluted EPS
$9.01
Short-sale volume share
51.5%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 53.6% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 77/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$2.05 vs $1.98+3.54%
- Jun 2026$1.91 vs $1.88+1.6%
- Mar 2026$2.01 vs $1.92+4.69%
- Dec 2025$2.84 vs $2.65+7.17%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 4.3% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 4 upward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $261.00–$425.00 · Consensus $345.57
Buy / hold / sell 16 / 8 / 6
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:22.035Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $2.94 · $2.86–$3.18 · 10 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 4 / 2
Estimate dispersion 10.9%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:19.908Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $350.42
MA10 $346.06
MA20 $345.51
MA60 $334.66
Last completed-session close $354.88 (-0.21%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.65×
Prior 20-session range $325.33–$355.91 · MA20 change over five sessions +0.70% · CMF20 0.03
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
- Tight-range consolidation
Confirmation to watch: a close above $355.91 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $325.33 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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