正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…
正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…
$126.20 · 5 sessions 6.2% · 2026-11-13 16:40 UTC
View full stock details →Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $118.62 → consider reducing
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $130.43 → consider a staged addition
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
FTNT -2.57% · SPY -0.97% · Peer average -2.38% (CRWD, NET, OKTA, PANW, ZS)
2026-11-13T16:40:36.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Research timestamp 2026-10-29T14:36:27.747Z · Historical research, not a completed current investment review
On 2026-07-29, Fortinet reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results: revenue rose 26% year over year to $2.048 billion, product revenue rose 52% year over year to $773 million, billings rose 33% year over year to $2.372 billion, GAAP operating margin was 34%, and non-GAAP operating margin was 38%.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
On 2026-07-29, Fortinet raised its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to 19% year-over-year growth.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
In the 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year results released on 2026-02-05, the company reported full-year 2025 revenue of $6.800 billion, billings of $7.554 billion, GAAP operating margin of 31%, non-GAAP operating margin of 35%, and full-year free cash flow of $2.212 billion.
2026-02-05 · www.sec.gov
Product revenue grew much faster than service revenue, which may indicate a shift in mix or demand toward hardware/subscription-related business, but this does not directly explain the same-day stock move.
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
Target-price summary $110.00–$225.00 · Consensus $150.76
Buy / hold / sell 7 / 18 / 4
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:41:00.149Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.84 · $0.79–$0.85 · 12 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 11 / 0
Estimate dispersion 7.1%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:40:57.105ZTrend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
MA5 $124.50
MA10 $126.48
MA20 $149.25
MA60 $164.11
Last completed-session close $129.54 (+1.12%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.58×
Prior 20-session range $118.62–$186.32 · MA20 change over five sessions -9.73% · CMF20 -0.05
Confirmation to watch: a close above $186.32 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $118.62 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
The company raised full-year revenue guidance while maintaining strong operating margins, which may support expectations for growth durability and earnings quality, but the filing does not directly prove causation.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
Watch whether the next quarterly report shows further improvement in billings, product revenue, and non-GAAP operating margin, or another guidance increase.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
Watch whether subsequent company presentations provide more execution detail on SASE, AI-related products, and partnership initiatives.
2026-07-29 · www.sec.gov
Watch the pace of share repurchases; in February 2026 the company increased its buyback authorization by $1.0 billion to as much as $10.25 billion.
2026-02-05 · www.sec.gov