专项研究 · Dip Research

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正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$173.09 USD2026-11-12 21:00 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$164.68

Breakout$204.75

Toward defense ↙

To defense -4.9%To breakout +18.3%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $174.96 · Breakout $177.57

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $164.68 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $204.75 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 1.25× · MA20 $203.33

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-10 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $187.86–$216.57 → —–$187.86 · Close $175.11 / 1.89×
2026-10-26 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $183.45–$219.03 → $219.03–— · Close $225.15 / 1.50×
2026-10-23 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $177.57–$210.10 → $210.10–— · Close $216.70 / 1.78×
2026-10-22 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $177.57–$200.67 → $200.67–— · Close $208.20 / 1.88×
2026-10-16 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $184.80–$206.25 → $180.23–$184.80 · Close $181.05 / 1.53×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z

VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z

Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z

Market and sector reference

QLYS -5.25%

2026-11-12T21:00:01.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $140.00–$230.00 · Consensus $201.42

Buy / hold / sell 3 / 8 / 1

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:40:17.003Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.47 · $1.44–$1.53 · 5 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0

Estimate dispersion 6.1%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:40:16.978Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Mixed structure

MA5 $184.75

MA10 $197.66

MA20 $203.33

MA60 $189.26

Last completed-session close $173.09 (-5.25%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.25×

Prior 20-session range $164.68–$235.55 · MA20 change over five sessions -1.35% · CMF20 0.10

Confirmation to watch: a close above $235.55 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $164.68 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.