专项研究 · Dip Research

newstock.ai

正在读取抄底盘 · Loading Dip Watch…

Key levels and trade conditions

Delayed quotes · Technical conditions

$151.13 USD2026-11-13 16:35 UTC

Showing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.

Hold and monitor; no addition yet

Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.

Defense$144.99

Breakout$165.32

Toward defense ↙

To defense -4.1%To breakout +9.4%

Medium-term reference (not the near-term trigger)Defense $150.75 · Breakout $168.05

When does defense take priority?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close below $144.99 → consider reducing

When to consider adding?

Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.

Confirmed close above $165.32 → consider a staged addition

Completed session: 2026-11-12 · Completed-session volume ratio 0.65× · MA20 $194.60

Range basis session: 2026-11-12 · Yahoo Finance

Level methodology and recent changes

Near term: trigger levels use the five sessions preceding the latest completed session, never that session’s own high/low. Confirmation requires a close beyond the boundary and 1.5× prior-20-session average volume. The crossed level becomes the new reference; any next boundary comes from observed prior-20-session highs/lows. The five-session range rolls after the next completed session, not with intraday quotes.

Current base window starts: 2026-11-06

2026-11-06 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $178.34–$202.50 → —–$178.34 · Close $153.68 / 2.63×
2026-10-30 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $200.05–$228.13 → $190.96–$200.05 · Close $191.72 / 1.78×
2026-10-29 · Volume-confirmed breakdown · $216.00–$229.96 → $204.00–$216.00 · Close $204.10 / 1.78×
2026-08-07 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $95.35–$113.55 → $113.55–— · Close $149.07 / 4.79×
2026-07-28 · Volume-confirmed breakout · $80.00–$97.73 → $97.73–— · Close $99.98 / 1.71×

Tilt shows price location, not a probability. Combine technical signals with company research and your risk tolerance. No trades are executed.

01Newstock overall assessment

The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.

Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.

02What happened recently

Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.

US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z

VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z

Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z

Market and sector reference

TEAM -2.07% · SPY -0.97% · Peer average +1.04% (ADBE, ADSK, APP, CRM, DDOG, HUBS)

2026-11-13T16:17:15.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.

03Is the company worth considering?

Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.

Analyst consensus and disagreement

Target-price summary $175.00–$309.00 · Consensus $221.05

Buy / hold / sell 19 / 1 / 0

Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:40:31.941Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.

Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.09 · $-0.05–$0.22 · 6 analysts

Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0

Estimate dispersion 300.0%

Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:40:31.838Z

04Is now a good time?

Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.

Technical structure · Mixed structure

MA5 $152.38

MA10 $170.49

MA20 $194.60

MA60 $190.82

Last completed-session close $152.29 (-0.10%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.65×

Prior 20-session range $144.99–$229.96 · MA20 change over five sessions -6.77% · CMF20 -0.04

Confirmation to watch: a close above $229.96 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $144.99 weakens the setup.

Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12

05What would change our assessment?

Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.

Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.