Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $178.80 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $197.87 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
ABNB +2.31% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average +0.34% (AAL, BKNG, CCL, DAL, EXPE, HLT)
2026-11-13T16:38:40.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 8 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderAI is starting to help Booking's business. Its stock should benefit8d ago
If AI lowers search and support friction, it is also seen as a general tool to improve Airbnb’s on-platform conversion and retention, though the impact is mainly industry sentiment and product-efficiency spillover, weaker than for BKNG itself.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · META
- #2Impact2.4%Adverse2nd-orderBooking Profit, Sales Fall as Global Conflicts Wear on Travel Demand10d ago
Airbnb is more diversified, but slower international travel still pressures overall nights booked, especially in cross-border itineraries.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · HLT · MAR · WH · DAL
- #3Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings: AI Proves To Be A Revenue Multiplier (Rating Upgrade)8d ago
Airbnb can also benefit from better personalization in lodging search and pricing, but the near-term financial leverage is less direct than for BKNG.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · GOOGL · META
- #4Impact1.1%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings Q3 Earnings Beat on Travel Growth, Revenues Miss9d ago
If lodging bookings remain strong, alternative accommodation platforms also benefit from stronger travel spending and higher trip frequency expectations.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · TRIP · MAR · HLT · V
If the call shows global travel demand has not materially softened, valuation discounting for platform lodging demand improves, supporting Airbnb’s occupancy and nights-booked outlook.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · MAR · HLT · CHH · GLD
- #6Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderBooking Stock Falls After Mixed Earnings Report. Here Are The Numbers To Know.10d ago
While the model differs, Airbnb sits in the same travel-accommodation demand chain, so signs of slowing growth at Booking can pull down the valuation anchor for the broader lodging and travel space.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · V · MA · PYPL
Resilient travel demand supports sentiment across the short-term rental and lodging booking chain.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · MAR · HLT · IHG · V
- #8Impact1%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings: Deep Moat And Discounted Valuation Make An Attractive Entry13d ago
If BKNG’s rerating extends to the “high-quality travel platform” basket, ABNB should also benefit from a broader revaluation, though its business model is more accommodation-supply oriented and less tightly linked than EXPE.
Also named: BKNG · EXPE · META · GOOGL
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $12.2B · latest quarter up 18.9% YoY · reported FY net income of $2.5B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$12.2B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+18.9%
FY net income
$2.5B
Short-sale volume share
46.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 44.3% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-08-14SCHEDULE 13G/AChesky Brian
- 2026-08-14SCHEDULE 13G/AGebbia Joseph
- 2026-08-14SCHEDULE 13G/ABlecharczyk Nathan
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 43/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$3.16 vs $2.86+10.49%
- Jun 2026$1.37 vs $1.20+14.17%
- Mar 2026$0.26 vs $0.31-16.13%
- Dec 2025$0.56 vs $0.66-15.15%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $161.00–$245.00 · Consensus $206.44
Buy / hold / sell 20 / 12 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:23.078Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.88 · $0.71–$1.43 · 11 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 8
Estimate dispersion 81.8%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:22.917Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $185.89
MA10 $177.84
MA20 $174.92
MA60 $171.97
Last completed-session close $181.13 (+0.00%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.94×
Prior 20-session range $164.10–$197.87 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.74% · CMF20 -0.16
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $197.87 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $164.10 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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