Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Below defense; watch reduction conditions
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $93.15 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $101.02 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
ALB -1.92% · SPY -1.05% · Peer average -0.01% (APD, CF, DOW, ECL, IP, LIN)
2026-11-13T16:51:14.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 7 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
Greater certainty around Tesla’s European business would modestly raise expectations for global EV demand and lithium salt consumption.
Also named: TSLA · XPEV · NIO · RIVN · BWA · LEA
- #2Impact2.5%Adverse2nd-orderElon Musk's Tesla and SpaceX lose over $420 billion in combined market cap after midterms8d ago
A softer Tesla demand outlook reduces bullish pricing assumptions for lithium chemicals and long-term offtake demand.
Also named: TSLA · IRDM · RKLB · MBLY · NVDA · SQM
- #3Impact1.6%Adverse2nd-orderMarkets rise, but SpaceX and Tesla stocks fall, after Dems take back the House and Senate. Here's why9d ago
Lithium demand is tied to expectations for North American EV penetration, and weaker policy support lowers the medium-term growth slope.
Also named: SPCX · LMT · NOC · TSLA · RIVN · LCID
- #4Impact0.8%Favorable2nd-orderElon Musk's Tesla eyes transportation ‘domination' as Cybercab expansion heats up competition with Waymo22d ago
If Tesla fleet expansion lifts vehicle scale and battery-related demand, some upstream materials providers benefit from higher expectations for battery volumes.
Also named: TSLA · GOOG · GOOGL · UBER · LYFT · MOBILE
- #5Impact1%Adverse2nd-orderMusk's Election Bet Backfires on Tesla, and Your Index Fund Owns a Piece of It9d ago
If Tesla EV sales expectations are revised down, the market will also trim near-term demand elasticity for battery materials.
Also named: TSLA · GM · F · VOO · IVV · SPY
- #6Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderCould Rivian's Model 3 Moment Be Coming? Tesla Stock Climbed 1,364% in 3 Years.13d ago
If long-term EV penetration expectations rise, lithium demand expectations tick up marginally, but this article is only a valuation analogy and does not change near-term lithium demand forecasts.
Also named: RIVN · TSLA · LCID · NIO · APTV · BWA
- #7Impact0.8%Adverse2nd-orderTesla's Free Cash Flow Went Negative. It Still Has a $43.5 Billion Cash Cushion.54d ago
With Tesla prioritizing cash for AI/robotics over capacity, lithium supplier order growth expectations soften at the margin
Also named: TSLA · RIVN · PCRFY
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $5.1B · latest quarter up 18.8% YoY · reported FY net loss of $511M · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$5.1B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+18.8%
Gross margin
13%
FY net loss
$511M
Diluted EPS
$-5.76
Short-sale volume share
53.2%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 58.9% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-10SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
- 2026-10-28SCHEDULE 13GFRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 30/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$2.58 vs $2.56+0.78%
- Jun 2026$3.75 vs $3.35+11.94%
- Mar 2026$2.95 vs $1.24+137.9%
- Dec 2025-$0.53 vs -$0.40-32.5%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $95.00–$211.00 · Consensus $141.47
Buy / hold / sell 12 / 3 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:52:15.399Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.44 · $0.04–$2.74 · 5 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 2
Estimate dispersion 187.5%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:52:15.255Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $96.82
MA10 $94.92
MA20 $94.92
MA60 $109.74
Last completed-session close $94.85 (-1.17%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.70×
Prior 20-session range $89.77–$102.28 · MA20 change over five sessions -0.50% · CMF20 -0.04
Confirmation to watch: a close above $102.28 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $89.77 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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