AMATApplied Materials
$355.96-6.56%Delayed market dataSemi equipmentSemi equipment & materials ยท 9 peers โKey levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes ยท Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume โฅ 1.5ร the previous 20 completed sessionsโ average.
Confirmed close below $329.29 โ consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume โฅ 1.5ร the previous 20 completed sessionsโ average.
Confirmed close above $404.71 โ consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch โ await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions โ facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:08:54.000Z
VIX 20.222026-11-13T16:08:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T16:14:00.000Z
Market and sector reference
AMAT -6.33% ยท SPY -1.13% ยท Peer average -4.55% (AMKR, ASML, CDNS, ENTG, KLAC, LRCX)
2026-11-13T16:23:52.000Z ยท Yahoo ยท Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
8 direct ยท 183 2nd-order ยท 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
Intel is a key customer for advanced-node equipment; a more cautious capex stance would hit Applied Materialsโ logic-tool orders and install base ramp.
Also named: LRCX ยท KLAC ยท TSM ยท SMIC ยท AMD ยท NVDA
- #2Impact4.1%FavorableDirectBig Tech Just Tried to Borrow More Than $35 Billion in a Single Day10d ago
Advanced-node and memory expansions both drive demand for Applied Materials' deposition, etch and process-control tools.
Also named: NVDA ยท SMCI ยท DELL ยท HPE ยท LRCX ยท KLAC
Applied Materials has meaningful exposure to memory etch, deposition and process integration, so a longer cycle supports equipment orders.
Also named: MU ยท 005930.KS ยท 000660.KS ยท 605123.SH ยท LRCX ยท ASML
Intel is a major customer for advanced-node equipment, so a weaker foundry ramp reduces incremental tool demand and upgrade cadence.
Also named: INTC ยท TSM ยท 005930.KS ยท LRCX ยท ASML ยท KLAC
If memory fabs delay expansions or reduce utilization, demand for deposition and related tools tends to soften as well.
Also named: MU ยท AMKR ยท WDC ยท STX ยท SK HYNIX ยท LRCX
- #6Impact4.2%FavorableDirectSK Hynix Says Memory Is Sold Out Through 2029. Micron Is a Winner, Too16d ago
Memory expansion directly boosts demand for deposition and materials engineering tools, especially for HBM/DRAM process steps.
Also named: MU ยท 000660.KS ยท 005930.KS ยท LRCX ยท KLAC ยท 4063.T
Memory expansion and process upgrades increase demand for deposition and etch tools; Applied Materials has broad exposure across memory process steps, so order expectations should improve.
Also named: MU ยท 000660.KS ยท NVDA ยท LRCX ยท KLAC ยท SMCI
- #8Impact3.5%Favorable2nd-orderMeta and Alphabet Face Serious Market Pressure Over Capex in Q411d ago
Rising AI server and data-center-related wafer demand tends to lift fab equipment spending expectations, benefiting Applied Materials' capex cycle.
Also named: META ยท GOOG ยท GOOGL ยท AMZN ยท ASML ยท LRCX
- #9Impact3.2%Favorable2nd-orderApple Lost About $140 Billion After Hours as Its New CEO Calls Memory Prices โUnprecedentedโ10d ago
Memory expansion or process upgrades typically drive deposition, etch, and materials orders, making equipment vendors early beneficiaries of a capex rebound.
Also named: MU ยท 005930.KS ยท 000660.KS ยท 2317.TW ยท AAPL ยท HPQ
A moderation in AI-server and HBM-related expansion would hit the equipment cycle and customer capex cadence.
Also named: META ยท GOOGL ยท AMZN ยท MSFT ยท ASML ยท LRCX
The rest, archived by time ยท 181
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
๐๏ธ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $28.4B ยท latest quarter up 24.8% YoY ยท reported FY net income of $7.0B ยท short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$28.4B
2025-10
Latest Q YoY
+24.8%
Gross margin
48.7%
FY net income
$7.0B
Diluted EPS
$8.71
Short-sale volume share
25%
2026-11-05 ยท Recent available-day avg 29.2% ยท near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
๐ฏ Market expectations
Estimate context score High ยท 86/100Nasdaq analyst consensus ยท currently available data
- Oct 2026$4.16 vs $4.06+2.46%
- Jul 2026$3.50 vs $3.38+3.55%
- Apr 2026$2.86 vs $2.68+6.72%
- Jan 2026$2.38 vs $2.19+8.68%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 5.4% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast ยท not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $475.00โ$850.00 ยท Consensus $649.30
Buy / hold / sell 23 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq ยท Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:24:03.371Z ยท The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $4.06 ยท $4.02โ$4.22 ยท 10 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0
Estimate dispersion 4.9%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts ยท retrieved 2026-11-13T16:24:02.900Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels โ not the decline alone.
Technical structure ยท Downtrend structure
MA5 $370.37
MA10 $368.70
MA20 $384.87
MA60 $444.60
Last completed-session close $380.95 (-3.58%) ยท Volume / prior 20-session average 1.07ร
Prior 20-session range $316.95โ$434.56 ยท MA20 change over five sessions -6.03% ยท CMF20 -0.31
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $434.56 with volume at least 1.5ร the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $316.95 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo ยท 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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