Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $258.53 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $275.34 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
AMZN -1.04% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average +0.32% (AZO, COST, DG, DLTR, HD, KR)
2026-11-13T16:30:48.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
138 direct · 147 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
2 duplicate reports of the same events merged
AWS is Amazon’s key profit engine; a materially better-than-expected growth or operating margin print would reset the valuation anchor higher.
Also named: MELI · MSFT · GOOGL · META
Faster AWS growth directly boosts Amazon's cloud revenue and profit contribution, and the cloud segment carries outsized earnings leverage, warranting a higher medium-term valuation.
Also named: MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL · NVDA · AMD · AVGO
Amazon’s retail ads rely heavily on on-site search and product-detail traffic; if shopping agents directly recommend items and shorten the click path on Amazon, ad load and auction value could both come under pressure.
Also named: WMT · MNSO · GOOGL · META · TTD · MSFT
Amazon itself reported record operating profit, indicating that fulfillment efficiency, advertising monetization, and subscriptions are jointly lifting margins, directly supporting valuation.
Also named: BABA · MELI · EBAY · MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL
AWS and advertising supply the bulk of Amazon’s profits; stronger guidance implies a higher mix of high-margin revenue and a higher valuation floor.
Also named: MSFT · GOOGL · META · WMT · COST · NVDA
- #6Impact4.8%AdverseDirectNasdaq futures tumble as Amazon, Intel results deepen AI spending woes14d ago
AWS is the key high-margin engine in Amazon's valuation; rising AI-related compute and infrastructure spending can pressure near-term cloud margins and slow the market's expected payback timeline.
Also named: MSFT · GOOGL · INTC · NVDA · AMD · ASML
- #7Impact4.2%FavorableDirectMicrosoft and Amazon combine for a $400 billion market-cap boost — and these factors show why9d ago
AWS remains Amazon’s profit engine, and higher expectations for AI compute and enterprise cloud spending directly improve its growth outlook and multiple.
Also named: MSFT · ORCL · NVDA · AMD · AVGO · SMCI
AWS contributes a meaningful share of Amazon’s operating profit, so faster growth and margin expansion directly lift group earnings expectations and valuation.
Also named: MSFT · GOOGL · NVDA · AMD · MU · ANET
- #9Impact4.5%FavorableDirectAWS Jumps 39% as Amazon's Cash Flow Sinks: Rapid Earnings Reaction15d ago
AWS is central to Amazon’s profit mix, so a strong cloud reaction improves expectations for future margins and AI infrastructure returns, but the upside is partially offset by concerns about weaker cash flow.
Also named: WMT · MELI · MSFT · GOOGL · NVDA · AMD
AWS accounts for a key share of Amazon’s profit pool; an upside in cloud growth and operating margin would directly lift consolidated EPS and the valuation anchor.
Also named: MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL · BABA · MELI · SHOP
The rest, archived by time · 275
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $716.9B · latest quarter up 12.1% YoY · reported FY net income of $77.7B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$716.9B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+12.1%
Gross margin
22.6%
FY net income
$77.7B
Diluted EPS
$7.29
Short-sale volume share
30.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 33.9% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 82/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$1.89 vs $2.01-5.97%
- Jun 2026$1.88 vs $1.83+2.73%
- Mar 2026$1.56 vs $1.60-2.5%
- Dec 2025$1.95 vs $1.98-1.52%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately. Analysts made 8 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $230.00–$390.00 · Consensus $324.90
Buy / hold / sell 41 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:58.926Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $2.47 · $2.36–$2.67 · 13 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 8
Estimate dispersion 12.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:58.858Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $266.14
MA10 $259.36
MA20 $256.50
MA60 $255.46
Last completed-session close $267.44 (+0.48%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.68×
Prior 20-session range $229.36–$275.34 · MA20 change over five sessions +0.81% · CMF20 -0.12
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $275.34 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $229.36 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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