BKNGBooking Holdings
$159.78-0.88%Delayed market dataOnline travelTravel, lodging & airlines · 12 peers →Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $156.30 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $167.67 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:21:54.000Z
VIX 19.072026-11-13T19:21:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:27:00.000Z
Market and sector reference
BKNG -0.88% · SPY -0.51% · Peer average +0.52% (AAL, ABNB, CCL, DAL, EXPE, HLT)
2026-11-13T19:33:28.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
12 direct · 0 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact7.5%AdverseDirectBooking Holdings takes $900 million hit to quarterly revenue linked to FTC action10d ago
The company is explicitly flagged for roughly $900 million of quarterly revenue disruption, a very large one-quarter shock versus its roughly $26.9 billion annual revenue base that should reset near-term revenue and margin expectations lower.
Also named: EXPE · TRIP · MAR · HLT · CHH · GOOGL
- #2Impact4.2%FavorableDirectAI is starting to help Booking's business. Its stock should benefit8d ago
BKNG is directly named, and if AI improves search ranking, personalization and customer-service automation, the first-order effect is better booking conversion and marketing efficiency; with a $26.9B revenue base and only modest margins, even a few bps of efficiency can meaningfully lift profit expectations.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · META
- #3Impact3.5%FavorableDirectBooking Holdings: AI Proves To Be A Revenue Multiplier (Rating Upgrade)8d ago
BKNG is the direct subject of the note, and its high-margin platform model is the most leveraged to AI-driven search relevance, higher conversion and lower customer acquisition cost, magnifying incremental revenue on a $26.9bn revenue base.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · GOOGL · META
- #4Impact3.5%FavorableDirectThe ‘Connected Trip' Gamble: What To Watch In Booking Holdings' Nov. 3 Earnings Call15d ago
If the call shows Connected Trip is still improving direct bookings and multi-product bundling, investors will assign a higher valuation to Booking’s long-term revenue quality and take rate.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · MAR · HLT · CHH · PYPL
A modest beat and steady guidance would directly support BKNG’s valuation and full-year earnings outlook, but upside is limited because the company has historically delivered modest beats that the market already expects.
Also named: EXPE · TRIP · MAR · HLT · H · PYPL
- #6Impact4.5%AdverseDirectBooking Profit, Sales Fall as Global Conflicts Wear on Travel Demand10d ago
As the headline company, slower revenue growth is the incremental message; with high-confidence EPS expectations already well anchored, the new information is more about worsening demand than a major earnings miss.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · HLT · MAR · WH · DAL
- #7Impact3.5%AdverseDirectBooking Stock Falls After Mixed Earnings Report. Here Are The Numbers To Know.10d ago
The headline directly names Booking, and the report comes against elevated next-quarter EPS expectations; if the company fails to extend its recent pattern of modest beats, the valuation premium is likely to compress.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · V · MA · PYPL
The earnings beat signals continued monetization strength in hotels and alternative accommodations, but the modest revenue miss suggests limited demand acceleration, so the market is more likely to mark the stock up modestly rather than rerate it meaningfully.
Also named: EXPE · TRIP · MAR · HLT · ABNB · V
If the call confirms better-than-expected lodging bookings and monetization, it directly lifts expectations for gross bookings, take rates and margins.
Also named: EXPE · ABNB · MAR · HLT · CHH · GLD
- #10Impact1.2%FavorableDirectAdvance Auto Parts vs. Booking Holdings: Flat Against Volatile Revenue17d ago
With a very large revenue base and still-positive recent revenue growth, the company is maintaining solid monetization even off a high base, which supports the valuation better than in auto parts.
Also named: AAP · ORLY · AZO · EXPE · ABNB
The rest, archived by time · 2
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $26.9B · latest quarter down 1.3% YoY · reported FY net income of $289M · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$26.9B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
-1.3%
Gross margin
21.8%
FY net income
$289M
Diluted EPS
$166.52
Short-sale volume share
28.8%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 26.1% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 66/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$4.66 vs $4.48+4.02%
- Jun 2026$2.54 vs $2.45+3.67%
- Mar 2026$1.14 vs $1.10+3.64%
- Dec 2025$1.95 vs $1.93+1.04%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 3.1% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 7 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $150.00–$270.00 · Consensus $214.17
Buy / hold / sell 19 / 4 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:53.056Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $2.19 · $2.04–$2.46 · 9 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 7
Estimate dispersion 19.2%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:51.998Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $160.97
MA10 $160.21
MA20 $158.45
MA60 $170.45
Last completed-session close $161.20 (+0.62%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.60×
Prior 20-session range $146.28–$174.30 · MA20 change over five sessions +0.07% · CMF20 -0.11
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $174.30 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $146.28 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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