Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Above the breakout line; await close and volume confirmation
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $131.12 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $140.91 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:39:54.000Z
VIX 20.222026-11-13T16:39:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T16:44:56.000Z
Market and sector reference
COP +1.24% · SPY -0.94% · Peer average +0.60% (BKR, CVX, DVN, EOG, FANG)
2026-11-13T16:50:40.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
1 direct · 6 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.2%AdverseDirectWeekly Market Preview: Oil Drop on Iran Talks, Gold Breakdown, PMI Strength & FX Outlook11d ago
With a predominantly upstream portfolio, ConocoPhillips sees earnings and buyback capacity move quickly with crude prices.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · BAR · AAAU · USO
- #2Impact1.7%Favorable2nd-orderExxon Is Up 59% This Year After Another Beat. This Is How High It Can Go.11d ago
With a more concentrated upstream exposure, ConocoPhillips benefits as investors gain confidence that independent E&Ps can sustain cash flow, dividends, and buybacks if Exxon keeps beating.
Also named: XOM · CVX · EOG · SLB
- #3Impact1.7%Favorable2nd-orderExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript14d ago
If XOM confirms strong capital returns in oil and gas, investors tend to extrapolate that to more upstream-heavy COP, which is more sensitive to crude prices and payback cycles.
Also named: XOM · CVX · EOG · SLB · HAL · BKR
- #4Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderExxonMobil Q3 Earnings: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors12d ago
If XOM demonstrates upstream earnings resilience, investors often extrapolate the same pricing backdrop to higher-beta E&P names.
Also named: XOM · CVX · OXY
As a pure-play upstream producer, its cash flow is more sensitive to crude price levels
Also named: XOM · CVX · SLB · DAL · AAL · LUV
If investors continue bidding up large-cap energy resilience, capital often spills over into comparable E&P names, and ConocoPhillips benefits from sector multiple re-rating.
Also named: CVX · XOM · SLB · HAL · BKR · USO
As a pure upstream E&P player, ConocoPhillips has higher oil-price beta and indirectly benefits from the same macro narrative.
Also named: XOM · CVX · SLB · HAL
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $51.8B · latest quarter up 29% YoY · reported FY net income of $8.0B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$51.8B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+29%
FY net income
$8.0B
Diluted EPS
$6.36
Short-sale volume share
34.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 47.5% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 39/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$3.27 vs $3.06+6.86%
- Jun 2026$3.24 vs $2.96+9.46%
- Mar 2026$1.89 vs $1.73+9.25%
- Dec 2025$1.02 vs $1.08-5.56%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $122.00–$185.00 · Consensus $152.41
Buy / hold / sell 15 / 6 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:56:44.111Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $3.74 · $2.79–$4.74 · 9 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 7 / 0
Estimate dispersion 52.1%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:56:40.994Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $136.85
MA10 $140.19
MA20 $144.01
MA60 $136.49
Last completed-session close $140.06 (+1.60%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.65×
Prior 20-session range $131.12–$154.28 · MA20 change over five sessions -0.43% · CMF20 0.01
Confirmation to watch: a close above $154.28 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $131.12 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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