Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Above the breakout line; await close and volume confirmation
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $1,043.00 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $1,102.84 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:45:24.000Z
VIX 19.372026-11-13T18:45:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.382026-11-13T18:50:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
COST +0.96% · SPY -0.50% · Peer average -0.16% (AMZN, AZO, DG, DLTR, HD, KR)
2026-11-13T18:56:42.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 8 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.3%Favorable2nd-orderInflation Is Running Above 3%. These 3 Dividend Stocks Have the Pricing Power to Keep Up.9d ago
COST’s membership model and fast-turn staples make it easier to sustain revenue growth through pricing and traffic in inflationary periods.
Also named: PG · CL · KMB · KO · PEP · MNST
If traffic becomes more expensive on e-commerce platforms, retail acquisition and promotion costs can rise more broadly.
Also named: AMZN · EBAY · SHOP · GOOGL · META · TTD
- #3Impact0.7%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon Ads: The E-Commerce Search Monolith vs. Walmart Connect: The In-Store Data Goldmine28d ago
Large membership-based retailers have scarce data assets, and rising retail-media enthusiasm makes the market more attentive to the long-term monetization value of Costco’s membership and transaction data.
Also named: AMZN · WMT · MELI · TGT · MSFT
If branded suppliers struggle to raise prices, warehouse retailers can also see pressure on margins and promotion cadence in related household-care categories.
Also named: CLX · PG · KMB · IP · PKG · GPK
- #5Impact1%Adverse2nd-orderAmazon vs. Target: One Is Riding the AI Boom, While the Other Faces a Consumer Spending Squeeze9d ago
Even with its defensive profile, a slower consumer backdrop can still pressure membership upgrades and higher-margin discretionary sales.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · WMT · TGT · TJX
If consumers increasingly see Amazon as a more premium channel, some value-seeking one-stop shopping demand may continue to flow to discount retailers like Costco.
Also named: AMZN · EBAY · SHOP · WMT · MSFT
A stronger narrative around online spending and member stickiness provides sentiment support for membership retailers.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · META · WMT · NVDA
Amazon’s valuation resilience reinforces expectations for continued spending on supply chain and membership ecosystems, modestly pressuring peers that rely on member retention and price competition.
Also named: AMZN · WMT · MSFT · GOOGL · TTD · META
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $303.2B · latest quarter up 11.6% YoY · reported FY net income of $9.2B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$303.2B
2026-08
Latest Q YoY
+11.6%
Gross margin
10.8%
FY net income
$9.2B
Diluted EPS
$20.78
Short-sale volume share
56.2%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 46.4% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 82/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Aug 2026$6.60 vs $6.48+1.85%
- Feb 2026$4.58 vs $4.55+0.66%
- Nov 2025$4.34 vs $4.26+1.88%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $781.00–$1315.00 · Consensus $1113.58
Buy / hold / sell 18 / 7 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:05:20.765Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Nov 2026) $4.87 · $4.68–$5.08 · 10 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 0
Estimate dispersion 8.2%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:05:20.632Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $1073.14
MA10 $1054.99
MA20 $1026.25
MA60 $960.60
Last completed-session close $1092.21 (+0.42%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.91×
Prior 20-session range $977.24–$1091.92 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.73% · CMF20 0.07
Confirmation to watch: a close above $1091.92 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $977.24 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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