Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $216.14 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $238.50 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.15%2026-11-13T19:21:54.000Z
VIX 19.072026-11-13T19:21:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T19:27:00.000Z
Market and sector reference
CRWD -1.04% · SPY -0.51% · Peer average -0.81% (FTNT, NET, OKTA, PANW, ZS)
2026-11-13T19:36:22.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
1 direct · 19 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
AI threats should strengthen demand for endpoint and identity security, and CrowdStrike should gain share in cloud-native endpoint protection and threat detection.
Also named: AMZN · GOOG · GOOGL · PANW · ZS · NVDA
- #2Impact3%Favorable2nd-orderCoinbase Q3: The Cybersecurity Scare May Be Hiding An Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)14d ago
The incident reinforces expectations for endpoint protection, identity, and threat monitoring demand, and CRWD as a leading security platform is well positioned to benefit from a higher budget priority.
Also named: COIN · CME · HOOD · PANW · OKTA · BTC
- #3Impact3.2%FavorableDirectMicrosoft says AI agents are like insider threats as ‘frontier models can't be trusted'25d ago
AI agents create new identity and endpoint-abuse risks, boosting demand for detection, response and behavioral analytics.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · PANW · ZS · NOW
- #4Impact2.3%Favorable2nd-orderOracle Plans to Expand Multicloud AI Database Services to US Government and Public Sector Workloads17d ago
More public-sector cloud workloads increase demand for endpoint, identity, and workload protection, benefiting security platforms tied to database environments.
Also named: ORCL · MSFT · AMZN · ACN · BAH · SAIC
- #5Impact2.6%Favorable2nd-orderNVIDIA Launches OpenShell Reference Architecture for Safe AI Agents23d ago
The deeper AI agents are embedded in enterprise workflows, the more endpoint, identity and data-layer controls are needed, supporting higher security budgets for CrowdStrike.
Also named: NVDA · AMD · INTC · SMCI · DELL · HPE
- #6Impact1.9%Favorable2nd-orderWhat to Expect in Markets This Week: Apple, Palantir Report; October Jobs Data Lands12d ago
If Palantir confirms that high-margin AI platform subscription economics remain intact, investors tend to raise their tolerance for long-duration ARR and valuation multiples across comparable software names.
Also named: AAPL · QCOM · SWKS · QRVO · AVGO · TSM
Stricter supply-chain and endpoint access controls support endpoint and identity-security budgets.
Also named: 300308.SZ · 002463.SZ · NVDA · 0981.HK · ASML · AMAT
As AWS customers and enterprises move more workloads to the cloud, spending on cloud and endpoint security typically rises in tandem.
Also named: AMZN · BABA · NVDA · ANET · AMAT · ASML
- #9Impact1.1%Favorable2nd-orderPalantir: The Trust Layer For Agentic AI Heading Into Q3 Earnings16d ago
If the “trust layer” thesis sticks, it implies security, access control and auditability are prerequisites for AI deployment, which can raise the strategic priority of cybersecurity vendors.
Also named: PLTR · SNOW · SAIC · LDOS
Increased enterprise investment in AI threat detection is likely to boost demand for its Falcon platform subscriptions
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · S · PANW · FTNT
The rest, archived by time · 10
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $4.8B · latest quarter up 25.8% YoY · reported FY net loss of $163M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$4.8B
2026-01
Latest Q YoY
+25.8%
Gross margin
74.7%
FY net loss
$163M
Diluted EPS
$-0.65
Short-sale volume share
27%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 47.5% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 54/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$0.01 vs $0.05-80%
- Apr 2026$0.04 vs $0.03+33.33%
- Jan 2026$0.06 vs $0.05+20%
- Oct 2025$0.00 vs $0.02-100%
The takeaway
EPS fell short of the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 31.7% in the quarters shown. This alone does not tell us whether analysts lowered later estimates.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $177.00–$425.00 · Consensus $268.46
Buy / hold / sell 34 / 6 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:45.335Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.00 · $-0.01–$0.04 · 13 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 0
Estimate dispersion 500.0%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T19:39:45.242Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $226.03
MA10 $232.53
MA20 $240.03
MA60 $237.96
Last completed-session close $229.87 (+0.35%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.64×
Prior 20-session range $213.22–$272.29 · MA20 change over five sessions -3.28% · CMF20 -0.12
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $272.29 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $213.22 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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