Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $93.35 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $103.18 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
CSCO -5.71% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average -6.83% (AAOI, AAPL, ANET, COHR, DELL, HPE)
2026-11-13T16:17:12.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 8 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2%Favorable2nd-orderOracle Targets $225B Revenue by 2030 as AI Cloud Build-Out Accelerates16d ago
AI datacenter upgrades create some network replacement demand, though the benefit is usually smaller than for pure-play datacenter switch vendors.
Also named: ORCL · MSFT · AMZN · NVDA · AVGO · AMD
- #2Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon and Alphabet Are Each Spending At Least $200 Billion on Data Centers This Year. Here's Which Stock Outperforms Through 2028.17d ago
Hyperscale expansion increases demand for data-center switching gear and network upgrades, benefiting Cisco’s enterprise and campus networking exposure.
Also named: AMZN · GOOG · MSFT · NVDA · ASML · AMAT
AI network buildouts lift demand for high-end switching and enterprise/cloud upgrades, though the benefit is more indirect and slower-moving than for AI-native vendors.
Also named: CRDO · ANET · AVGO · AAOI · OUST · MRVL
- #4Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderCash is king as investors draw new battle lines in AI spending boom16d ago
Enterprise and data-center network upgrades are being driven by AI traffic, though the benefit is weaker than for pure-play data-center networking names.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · NVDA
- #5Impact2%Favorable2nd-orderBig Tech Just Tried to Borrow More Than $35 Billion in a Single Day10d ago
As enterprise and cloud customers upgrade switching and routing architectures, Cisco can capture part of the networking refresh budget.
Also named: NVDA · SMCI · DELL · HPE · AMAT · LRCX
Demand for data-center networking and security equipment should rise, though the benefit is usually smaller than for pure-play cloud switching vendors.
Also named: NVDA · ANET · SMCI · AMAT · LRCX · ASML
- #7Impact1.3%Favorable2nd-orderAMD, Arista, Supermicro Earnings Previews: Can AI Infrastructure Shake Off Friday's Rout?11d ago
If Arista confirms that AI-switch orders remain healthy, it would lift the outlook for the broader high-speed networking and data-center switching group; Cisco is not a pure AI beneficiary, but it can still gain from a rebound in networking capex sentiment.
Also named: AMD · NVDA · AVGO · ANET · JNPR · SMCI
- #8Impact0.9%Adverse2nd-orderSuper Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript10d ago
If incremental AI-system spending is attributed more to SMCI, traditional enterprise networking/hardware names can lose relative attention.
Also named: SMCI · NVDA · AMD · DELL · ANET · AVGO
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $63.3B · latest quarter up 12% YoY · reported FY net income of $13.3B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$63.3B
2026-07
Latest Q YoY
+12%
Gross margin
64.5%
FY net income
$13.3B
Diluted EPS
$3.36
Short-sale volume share
44.7%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 37.9% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-10SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 76/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$1.08 vs $0.99+9.09%
- Apr 2026$0.90 vs $0.86+4.65%
- Jan 2026$0.88 vs $0.82+7.32%
- Oct 2025$0.81 vs $0.80+1.25%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 5.6% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $110.00–$150.00 · Consensus $132.91
Buy / hold / sell 6 / 5 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:29.923Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $1.15 · $1.11–$1.21 · 8 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 0
Estimate dispersion 8.7%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:29.862Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $98.68
MA10 $100.18
MA20 $104.08
MA60 $108.45
Last completed-session close $102.01 (+1.24%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.37×
Prior 20-session range $93.35–$112.70 · MA20 change over five sessions -3.65% · CMF20 -0.19
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $112.70 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $93.35 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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