Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Above the breakout line; await close and volume confirmation
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $206.01 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $218.09 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:56:24.000Z
VIX 19.682026-11-13T17:56:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.402026-11-13T18:01:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
CVX +0.92% · SPY -0.78% · Peer average +0.85% (BKR, COP, DVN, EOG, FANG)
2026-11-13T18:13:23.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
7 direct · 8 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact3.5%FavorableDirectBP's Profit Nearly Quadrupled. Exxon and Chevron Report in Hours, and Oil's Up 21% in a Month.14d ago
Chevron benefits from higher realized crude prices and stronger cash flow as a large integrated major, but its massive revenue base makes the earnings torque less dramatic than for smaller pure upstream names, so the move should be modest.
Also named: BP · OIH · SLB · HAL · GUSH · DBO
- #2Impact4.5%FavorableDirectBet on These Oil & Gas ETFs Capitalizing on the US-Iran War Windfall9d ago
Chevron’s sizeable upstream production and international asset base make it a near-term beneficiary of higher crude via stronger free cash flow and buyback capacity.
Also named: XOM · XLE · VLO · PSX · MPC · DAL
- #3Impact4.6%FavorableDirectBuy CVX and XOM Amid Solid Q3 Earnings and Surging Crude Oil Prices11d ago
Higher crude prices directly improve realized prices across Chevron's upstream portfolio, and the solid Q3 print supports cash flow and capital-return capacity, likely lifting full-year free-cash-flow expectations.
Also named: XOM · OXY · MPC · SLB · HAL · BKR
- #4Impact2.9%Adverse2nd-orderGold Price Forecast: US-Iran Peace Hopes Fuel Rally as Oil Plunges8d ago
Chevron’s upstream asset base is oil-price sensitive, and a fading geopolitical risk premium reduces earnings leverage.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · BAR · DBP
- #5Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderExxonMobil's Refining Profits Are Set to Jump $4.5 Billion. Here's What XOM Investors Need to Know.28d ago
As another integrated major, Chevron benefits from firmer refining margins, though the effect is weaker than for ExxonMobil itself.
Also named: XOM · SHEL · PSX · MPC · VLO · DK
Chevron’s roughly $184.4B annual revenue and strong recent top-line growth make the stock a direct beneficiary if the article reinforces expectations for stable cash generation under supportive oil prices and capital returns.
Also named: XOM · COP · SLB · HAL · BKR · USO
- #7Impact2.1%FavorableDirectAlphabet Opens Fresh Euro Bond Sales; Trump Weighs Iran Diplomacy; Countdown to Midterms11d ago
Iran-related geopolitical repricing usually transmits through crude moves first, and a firmer oil price base would directly lift upstream margins.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · XOM · SLB · DAL · UAL
- #8Impact2%FavorableDirectThe Morning Risk Report: Exxon Is Nearing a Preliminary Deal to Invest in Venezuela's Oil Fields57d ago
Already operating in Venezuela; further sanctions relief would let it ramp output and recover receivables
Also named: XOM · SLB · HAL · USO
- #9Impact1.9%Favorable2nd-orderExxon Is Up 59% This Year After Another Beat. This Is How High It Can Go.11d ago
As a peer integrated major, Chevron benefits from investors extrapolating Exxon’s strong print to industry capex discipline and upstream profit conditions, supporting a mild valuation rerating.
Also named: XOM · COP · EOG · SLB
- #10Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderExxonMobil Q3 Earnings: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors12d ago
As a U.S. integrated energy peer, a strong XOM print typically lifts expectations for peer free cash flow and capital returns.
Also named: XOM · COP · OXY
The rest, archived by time · 5
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $184.4B · latest quarter up 35.4% YoY · reported FY net income of $12.3B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$184.4B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+35.4%
FY net income
$12.3B
Diluted EPS
$6.65
Short-sale volume share
38.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 54.4% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 44/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$5.28 vs $4.78+10.46%
- Jun 2026$6.06 vs $5.80+4.48%
- Mar 2026$1.41 vs $0.92+53.26%
- Dec 2025$1.52 vs $1.44+5.56%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $218.00–$268.00 · Consensus $242.82
Buy / hold / sell 13 / 5 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:15:03.808Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $5.75 · $4.79–$7.00 · 7 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 5 / 1
Estimate dispersion 38.4%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:15:03.694Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $212.85
MA10 $218.27
MA20 $223.27
MA60 $213.51
Last completed-session close $216.35 (+1.44%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.10×
Prior 20-session range $206.01–$236.48 · MA20 change over five sessions -0.49% · CMF20 0.04
Confirmation to watch: a close above $236.48 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $206.01 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
See every affected stock, second-order impact and risk factor. Try Pro free for 7 days — no credit card required.
Start my free trial