Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $113.79 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $120.44 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:29:34.000Z
VIX 20.122026-11-13T16:29:31.000Z
Dollar index 103.342026-11-13T16:34:40.000Z
Market and sector reference
DIS +0.78% · SPY -1.01% · Peer average +0.59% (CHTR, CMCSA, LYV, NFLX, RBLX)
2026-11-13T16:19:49.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
1 direct · 15 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.2%Favorable2nd-orderWhat to Expect in Markets This Week: Meta, Tesla Report; Airlines, Streaming Giants' Results Due26d ago
A better streaming backdrop would improve expectations for Disney’s streaming losses to narrow.
Also named: TTD · MGNI · PUBM · META · SNAP · PINS
If investors re-rate Netflix’s earnings model more favorably, Disney+ remains under comparison pressure while it is still proving durable streaming profitability.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · ROKU · MGNI
- #3Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderNetflix (NFLX) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say24d ago
Disney+ and Hulu are often benchmarked against Netflix; if Netflix shows streaming can sustain profitability, it can narrow the valuation discount on Disney’s streaming segment.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · CMCSA · GOOGL · ROKU · PUBM
If Netflix shows that streaming can sustain pricing power and expand margins, it eases bearish sentiment on legacy media streaming transitions and supports Disney+ valuation sentiment.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · ROKU · TTD
- #5Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderNetflix Stock Is Trading at a Historically Low Valuation. Is This a Generational Buying Opportunity?12d ago
Disney also relies on DTC subscriptions and content IP monetization, so it benefits if the market revalues premium streaming assets higher.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · PARA · CMCSA
- #6Impact1.5%FavorableDirectDisney Just Raised Prices Across Multiple Streaming Tiers. Here's How It Compares to Netflix and Paramount.50d ago
Direct price hikes across tiers lift streaming ARPU, and given Disney's track record of averaging a 6.6% EPS beat over the last four quarters, the move reinforces confidence in continued margin improvement.
Also named: NFLX · PSKY
Disney+ also relies on viewing time to support ad pricing and retention, so a ‘watch-time saturation’ narrative can compress valuations across the streaming complex.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · ROKU
If the market stops assuming every content dollar must flow to Netflix, legacy media and bundled entertainment players gain a small lift in bargaining power and content pricing power.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · CMCSA
- #9Impact0.8%Adverse2nd-orderHead of Amazon Prime Video on movie studio: We wanted to take control of our output31d ago
A more fragmented streaming content landscape adds competitive pressure on Disney's original programming pipeline.
Also named: AMZN · NFLX · WBD
If Netflix strengthens its platform and monetization playbook, legacy media rivals face renewed pressure on subscriptions, advertising and content bargaining power.
Also named: NFLX · WBD · ROKU
The rest, archived by time · 6
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $94.4B · latest quarter up 6.8% YoY · reported FY net income of $12.4B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$94.4B
2025-09
Latest Q YoY
+6.8%
FY net income
$12.4B
Diluted EPS
$6.88
Short-sale volume share
40%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 46% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 75/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jun 2026$2.06 vs $1.88+9.57%
- Mar 2026$1.57 vs $1.49+5.37%
- Dec 2025$1.63 vs $1.57+3.82%
- Sep 2025$1.11 vs $1.03+7.77%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 6.6% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $115.00–$144.00 · Consensus $130.07
Buy / hold / sell 14 / 0 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:48:51.948Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Sep 2026) $1.67 · $1.60–$1.81 · 9 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 2
Estimate dispersion 12.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:48:51.906Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $118.59
MA10 $116.74
MA20 $113.86
MA60 $108.86
Last completed-session close $118.23 (-1.19%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.72×
Prior 20-session range $108.75–$120.80 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.16% · CMF20 0.22
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
- Accumulation-like price/volume pattern (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $120.80 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $108.75 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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