Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $245.31 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $274.81 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
EXPE +0.60% · SPY -1.05% · Peer average +0.57% (AAL, ABNB, BKNG, CCL, DAL, HLT)
2026-11-13T16:50:52.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 10 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact2%Favorable2nd-orderAI is starting to help Booking's business. Its stock should benefit8d ago
If Booking proves that AI can improve travel search and checkout efficiency, peers will be forced to accelerate similar tools, leading the market to re-rate Expedia and other platforms on longer-term efficiency and competitiveness.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · META
- #2Impact3.2%Adverse2nd-orderBooking Profit, Sales Fall as Global Conflicts Wear on Travel Demand10d ago
As a peer OTA, weaker cross-border and long-haul travel demand should flow through to hotel and air booking volumes.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · HLT · MAR · WH · DAL
- #3Impact1.9%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings: AI Proves To Be A Revenue Multiplier (Rating Upgrade)8d ago
Expedia also depends on search traffic and booking conversion, so proof that AI can lift booking efficiency tends to get extrapolated to better marketing ROI across OTA peers.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · GOOGL · META
- #4Impact2.2%Adverse2nd-orderBooking Holdings takes $900 million hit to quarterly revenue linked to FTC action10d ago
Heightened scrutiny of OTA commissions and disclosures tends to spill over to peers, and investors usually apply a broader compliance discount to the group first.
Also named: BKNG · TRIP · MAR · HLT · CHH · GOOGL
- #5Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings Q3 Earnings Beat on Travel Growth, Revenues Miss9d ago
BKNG's demand resilience typically lifts sentiment across online travel and reinforces expectations for pricing power in hotel inventory and ad monetization among platform OTAs.
Also named: BKNG · TRIP · MAR · HLT · ABNB · V
- #6Impact1.8%Adverse2nd-orderBooking Stock Falls After Mixed Earnings Report. Here Are The Numbers To Know.10d ago
Investors often treat Booking’s demand and margin trends as a bellwether for OTA demand resilience and take-rate/advertising monetization across the group.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · V · MA · PYPL
If BKNG highlights resilient industry demand, it usually lifts expectations for peer OTA booking and commission revenue over the same cycle.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · MAR · HLT · CHH · GLD
- #8Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript2 outlets10d ago
If BKNG confirms that leisure travel demand and hotel direct-connect supply remain firm, the market tends to extrapolate that to peers, lifting expectations for Expedia’s bookings and marketing efficiency.
Also named: BKNG · TRIP · MAR · HLT · H · PYPL
If the sector leader posts a softer read-through, it typically lowers the market’s growth and multiple assumptions for peer OTAs.
Also named: BKNG · TRIP · MAR · HLT · H · GLD
- #10Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderBooking Holdings: Deep Moat And Discounted Valuation Make An Attractive Entry13d ago
If the market re-rates online travel platforms on pricing power and cash generation, EXPE should benefit from comparable multiple expansion, though the channel is valuation-driven rather than operational.
Also named: BKNG · ABNB · META · GOOGL
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $14.7B · latest quarter up 11.9% YoY · reported FY net income of $1.3B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$14.7B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+11.9%
FY net income
$1.3B
Diluted EPS
$10.32
Short-sale volume share
76%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 68.4% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-10SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
- 2026-10-30SCHEDULE 13G/AVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 38/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$8.60 vs $8.09+6.3%
- Jun 2026$5.01 vs $4.78+4.81%
- Mar 2026$1.28 vs $0.73+75.34%
- Dec 2025$3.10 vs $2.88+7.64%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $235.00–$430.00 · Consensus $329.04
Buy / hold / sell 9 / 15 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:53:32.992Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $3.79 · $2.67–$5.29 · 8 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 1
Estimate dispersion 69.1%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:53:32.843Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $258.60
MA10 $275.21
MA20 $281.35
MA60 $284.98
Last completed-session close $261.05 (+0.48%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.63×
Prior 20-session range $245.31–$326.40 · MA20 change over five sessions -1.57% · CMF20 -0.16
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $326.40 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $245.31 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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