Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $36.12 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $38.90 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T17:40:04.000Z
VIX 19.842026-11-13T17:40:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.402026-11-13T17:45:05.000Z
Market and sector reference
GOLD +0.25% · Peer average -1.01% (AA, AEM, CLF, FCX, MLM, NEM)
2026-11-13T17:22:02.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
23 direct · 31 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact6%FavorableDirectGold demand remains near record highs as central bank buying surges 42% – WGC10d ago
Barrick’s production and earnings are highly leveraged to gold prices, and central-bank buying reinforces expectations for a higher price floor.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · NEM
- #2Impact5.1%FavorableDirectGold climbs above $4,000, Wall Street rallies as Dems take Congress - Kitco PM Report9d ago
Higher gold prices directly improve mine margins and asset valuation.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · NEM
- #3Impact4.8%FavorableDirectGold climbs above $4,100 as falling yields, softer labor costs support bullion - Kitco AM Report8d ago
GOLD relies heavily on gold pricing, and the breakout lifts asset NPV and earnings expectations.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · AEM
Persistent central bank buying lifts gold price expectations, directly benefiting its gold output revenue and valuation.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · OUNZ · NEM
Rising spot gold boosts revenue and margins, especially for higher-grade mining operations with operating leverage.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · OUNZ · DGL · DGP
Barrick's cash flow and valuation are tightly linked to spot gold, so weaker prices reduce free-cash-flow forecasts.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · BAR · NEM
- #7Impact3.8%Favorable2nd-orderWorld Bank sees gold holding above $4,000 through 2028, but warns silver faces steeper correction8d ago
Barrick is highly sensitive to gold prices, and a durable higher gold-price outlook improves project returns and valuation.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · NEM · AEM
- #8Impact3.8%FavorableDirectGold prices hit $4,000 as Democrats see electoral Sweep to gain control of Congress10d ago
Barrick also benefits from higher gold prices, but its more diversified asset mix makes the near-term leverage slightly lower than purer gold exposures.
Also named: AAAU · GLD · IAU · NEM · AEM · AUX
Barrick’s revenue is heavily tied to gold pricing, so a firm bullion market improves both margins and asset valuation expectations.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · OUNZ
- #10Impact3.8%AdverseDirectGold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Bearish Momentum Puts Major Support at Risk21d ago
Barrick’s earnings are highly dependent on gold prices, so weaker spot gold would pressure cash flow expectations.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · BAR · AAAU · NEM
The rest, archived by time · 44
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $618M · latest quarter up 22.1% YoY · reported FY net income of $82M · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$618M
2026-06
Latest Q YoY
+22.1%
Gross margin
1.8%
FY net income
$82M
Diluted EPS
$3.11
Short-sale volume share
74.4%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 57% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-09-08SCHEDULE 13D/ATether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A.
- 2026-08-14SCHEDULE 13GAMERICAN CENTURY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 22/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$0.44 vs $0.88-50%
- Jun 2026$0.83 vs $0.96-13.54%
- Mar 2026$3.06 vs $2.17+41.01%
- Dec 2025$0.91 vs $0.70+30%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $44.00–$60.00 · Consensus $53.50
Buy / hold / sell 4 / 0 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T17:57:38.563Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.97 · $0.70–$1.23 · 2 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 1
Estimate dispersion 54.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T17:57:35.450Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $37.40
MA10 $38.32
MA20 $38.53
MA60 $42.23
Last completed-session close $36.40 (-2.02%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.02×
Prior 20-session range $36.17–$41.81 · MA20 change over five sessions -1.53% · CMF20 -0.04
Confirmation to watch: a close above $41.81 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $36.17 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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