ICEIntercontinental Exchange
$179.03+0.66%Delayed market dataExchangesAsset mgmt, brokers & exchanges · 12 peers →Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $168.70 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $181.38 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:22:24.000Z
VIX 20.012026-11-13T17:22:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.382026-11-13T17:27:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
ICE +0.57% · SPY -0.71% · Peer average +0.39% (APO, BLK, BX, CME, GS, KKR)
2026-11-13T17:16:41.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
4 direct · 3 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.8%FavorableDirectCan Companies Stop Their Shares From Being Tokenized? Many Big Names Say Yes8d ago
If tokenized shares face tighter limits, ICE and other exchange/clearing infrastructure providers retain more pricing power over trading, settlement, and market data.
Also named: NASDAQ · CME · AAPL · MSFT · DFIN · AMZN
- #2Impact1.2%FavorableDirectHigher Margins, Better ROIC And Capable Management Define Pershing Square's Q3 2026 Portfolio9d ago
Its exchange, clearing and data businesses are highly capital-efficient, matching the ROIC theme highlighted in the note and supporting a continued quality premium.
Also named: PSHZF · BLK · BN · ALC · AMZN · HHH
- #3Impact1.5%AdverseDirectTexas Stock Exchange Is Close to Winning Its First Major Listing From New York65d ago
Losing its first major listing to a rival carries symbolic weight, threatening NYSE's long-term listing pricing power and brand dominance
Also named: NDAQ · CBOE · ET · KMI · OXY
- #4Impact2.4%FavorableDirectThe CFTC Just Cleared Stock Perpetual Futures for U.S. Exchanges. Does That Hurt Hyperliquid?10d ago
ICE’s exchange, clearing, and data franchises can benefit from a broader stock-perpetual product set, supporting cross-sell across trading and market-data lines.
Also named: CME · CBOE · HYPE · COIN
- #5Impact1.7%Adverse2nd-orderCboe and Citadel Securities Are Suing to Overturn the CFTC's Approval of Stock Perpetual Futures. Could That Slow Hyperliquid?9d ago
ICE is not directly in the case, but its futures and clearing franchise depends on product innovation and regulatory expansion, so similar disputes raise the risk premium on new-product approvals.
Also named: HYPE · COIN · CBOE · CME · CITA · GETY
Category expansion of prediction markets indirectly squeezes traditional exchanges' share of the emerging retail derivatives space.
Also named: HOOD · COIN · CME · DKNG · FLUT
- #7Impact0.8%Favorable2nd-orderRobinhood Stock Rises with Bitcoin Amid CFTC's New Crypto Proposal56d ago
As a diversified derivatives and data provider, ICE could leverage regulatory clarity to expand into crypto-related derivatives
Also named: HOOD · COIN · IBKR · CME · MSTR · MARA
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $12.6B · latest quarter up 20.7% YoY · reported FY net income of $3.3B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$12.6B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+20.7%
FY net income
$3.3B
Diluted EPS
$5.79
Short-sale volume share
39.2%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 36.7% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 70/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$2.02 vs $1.97+2.54%
- Jun 2026$1.90 vs $1.84+3.26%
- Mar 2026$2.35 vs $2.27+3.52%
- Dec 2025$1.71 vs $1.67+2.4%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately. Analysts made 3 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $167.00–$245.00 · Consensus $191.36
Buy / hold / sell 8 / 2 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T17:41:13.910Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.93 · $1.84–$2.00 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 3
Estimate dispersion 8.3%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T17:41:12.829Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $176.22
MA10 $174.21
MA20 $166.97
MA60 $160.17
Last completed-session close $177.86 (-1.51%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.83×
Prior 20-session range $153.90–$180.71 · MA20 change over five sessions +3.01% · CMF20 0.18
Confirmation to watch: a close above $180.71 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $153.90 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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