Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $561.85 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $619.50 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:40:14.000Z
VIX 19.472026-11-13T18:40:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.382026-11-13T18:45:17.000Z
Market and sector reference
LMT -1.99% · Peer average -0.51% (BA, GD, GE, HWM, LHX, NOC)
2026-11-13T18:21:36.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
1 direct · 11 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.7%Favorable2nd-orderGold, silver extend weekly losses as Hormuz tensions push crude above $116 - Kitco PM Report21d ago
Geopolitical stress tends to support defense budgets and order visibility, which is constructive for Lockheed Martin's valuation.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · DGL · DGP
Lockheed Martin’s revenue and earnings are heavily tied to U.S. defense budgets and program timing, and a funding gap reduces confidence in future large-program awards and incremental orders.
Also named: RTX · AVAV · PLTR · LHX · NOC · ONDS
- #3Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderAlphabet Opens Fresh Euro Bond Sales; Trump Weighs Iran Diplomacy; Countdown to Midterms11d ago
Persistent geopolitical risk generally improves the political acceptability of defense budgets, which is mildly positive for prime contractors.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · XOM · CVX · SLB · DAL
- #4Impact2.1%Favorable2nd-orderPalantir: AI In Production While Everyone Else Is Still Piloting26d ago
As major defense primes platformize data and AI capabilities, more budget flows to integrable software layers with field-deployable capability.
Also named: PLTR · MSFT · CRM · RTX · AMZN · GOOGL
- #5Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderMarkets rise, but SpaceX and Tesla stocks fall, after Dems take back the House and Senate. Here's why9d ago
Democratic control of Congress typically implies steadier defense and space appropriations, improving order visibility for legacy prime contractors.
Also named: SPCX · NOC · TSLA · RIVN · LCID · MBLY
- #6Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderHow Elon Musk's SpaceX triggered an $11 billion earnings shock for Alphabet16d ago
When launch and government/commercial satellite demand strengthens, large contractors like LMT often get a valuation lift as the market raises long-term cash flow expectations for related programs.
Also named: GOOGL · GOOG · TSLA · AMZN · MSFT · NOC
- #7Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderElon Musk and SpaceX Just Delivered Incredible News to Nvidia That Could Help the Stock Double in the Next Year19d ago
If commercial space launch capability continues to be reshaped by SpaceX, traditional aerospace contractors may face pressure on pricing power in launch and satellite programs.
Also named: NVDA · AMD · AVGO · SPCX · IRDM
- #8Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderHere's Why IonQ Is a Buy After Its Air Force Award (and Why It Isn't)8d ago
Prime defense contractors can benefit if quantum communications, cryptography, or computing budgets expand, though the transmission is indirect.
Also named: IONQ · RGTI · QBTS · RTX
- #9Impact0.8%Adverse2nd-orderSpaceX jumps 10%, Tesla rises on stunning revenue surge and possible merger23d ago
If SpaceX keeps gaining share in commercial space and government launch work, legacy defense contractors face tighter pricing and share pressure.
Also named: TSLA · RIVN · LCID · SPCX · RKLB · AAPL
- #10Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderPalantir Shed Nearly 20% Over 12 Months: This Wall Street Desk Predicts 76% Gains Moving Forward7d ago
If investors become more convinced that defense digitalization and AI budgets will continue, prime contractors can get a modest sentiment lift, though the link is far less direct than for pure software names.
Also named: PLTR · SNOW · DDOG · BAH · CRWD · NET
The rest, archived by time · 2
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $75.0B · latest quarter up 11.3% YoY · reported FY net income of $5.0B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$75.0B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+11.3%
Gross margin
10.2%
FY net income
$5.0B
Diluted EPS
$21.56
Short-sale volume share
52.9%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 57% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 71/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$7.97 vs $7.49+6.41%
- Jun 2026$7.94 vs $7.22+9.97%
- Mar 2026$6.44 vs $6.67-3.45%
- Dec 2025$7.43 vs $6.24+19.07%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 8% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 4 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $498.00–$835.00 · Consensus $649.71
Buy / hold / sell 8 / 8 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:56:56.458Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $8.40 · $8.20–$8.65 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 4
Estimate dispersion 5.4%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:56:54.412Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $594.51
MA10 $606.28
MA20 $599.45
MA60 $553.37
Last completed-session close $604.09 (-0.98%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.58×
Prior 20-session range $526.07–$657.00 · MA20 change over five sessions +3.38% · CMF20 0.01
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $657.00 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $526.07 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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