MELIMercadoLibre
$1486.08+0.74%Delayed market dataE-commerce PlatformsKey levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $1,465.06 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $1,558.01 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:29:34.000Z
VIX 20.122026-11-13T16:29:31.000Z
Dollar index 103.342026-11-13T16:34:40.000Z
Market and sector reference
MELI +0.74% · SPY -1.01%
2026-11-13T16:40:34.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 6 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon and Walmart Are Turning Retail Efficiency Into Someone Else's Expense29d ago
As efficiency competition intensifies among major platforms, investors tend to reward regional e-commerce leaders with strong fulfillment and take-rate economics.
Also named: AMZN · WMT · TGT · COTY · NKE · PDD
- #2Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon Before Q3 Earnings: Buy the Stock Now or Wait for Results?17d ago
If Amazon shows better cross-border commerce and logistics efficiency, investors may extrapolate improved sector profitability to the Latin American platform leader.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · META
If large-scale platform e-commerce names are awarded a higher multiple on improving margins, regional leader MercadoLibre tends to be re-rated on the same platform-quality and compounding logic.
Also named: AMZN · BABA · MSFT · GOOGL · UPS · FDX
- #4Impact1%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon Ads: The E-Commerce Search Monolith vs. Walmart Connect: The In-Store Data Goldmine28d ago
The validation of on-platform search advertising in e-commerce extends to other high-intent transaction marketplaces such as MercadoLibre, supporting ad monetization expectations.
Also named: AMZN · WMT · TGT · COST · MSFT
- #5Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderGoogle taught the world how to search. Now it faces a revolution it can't afford to lose.13d ago
If the search gateway weakens, in-platform search and retail media become relatively more valuable.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · META · AMZN · OPENAI
Amazon’s margin improvement reinforces the model of e-commerce leaders using logistics and financial services to expand profits, lifting valuation sentiment for emerging-market platforms.
Also named: AMZN · BABA · EBAY · MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $20.3B · latest quarter up 44.2% YoY · reported FY net income of $2.0B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$20.3B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+44.2%
Gross margin
44.5%
FY net income
$2.0B
Diluted EPS
$39.4
Short-sale volume share
60.7%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 48.4% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-06-18SCHEDULE 13D/AGalperin Trust /SD
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 42/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$8.83 vs $9.41-6.16%
- Jun 2026$9.19 vs $8.69+5.75%
- Mar 2026$8.23 vs $8.78-6.26%
- Dec 2025$11.03 vs $11.77-6.29%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $1600.00–$2600.00 · Consensus $2177.27
Buy / hold / sell 10 / 2 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:49:23.968Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $10.87 · $9.86–$12.06 · 3 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 2
Estimate dispersion 20.2%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:49:23.928Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $1504.01
MA10 $1575.37
MA20 $1673.97
MA60 $1801.38
Last completed-session close $1475.09 (-2.44%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.75×
Prior 20-session range $1465.06–$1892.10 · MA20 change over five sessions -5.19% · CMF20 0.12
Confirmation to watch: a close above $1892.10 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $1465.06 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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