Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $606.66 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $648.45 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:18:04.000Z
VIX 20.512026-11-13T16:18:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:23:09.000Z
Market and sector reference
META +1.28% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average -0.49% (DASH, EBAY, GOOG, GOOGL, PINS, SHOP)
2026-11-13T16:33:09.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
111 direct · 45 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
META is the headline company; AI infrastructure spending directly lifts capex and depreciation, while ad revenue upside from AI-driven ranking may not be enough to offset the cost burden in the near term.
Also named: GOOGL · AMZN · MSFT · ASML · AMAT · LRCX
- #2Impact6.5%FavorableDirectMeta stock surges on strong earnings report; tech giant unveils new shares to bankroll AI spending23d ago
Top- and bottom-line strength validates ad business resilience, while AI tools should improve ad efficiency and support monetization over time.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · AMD · ANET · MS
Meta is highly ad-dependent; if earnings show further acceleration in ad monetization, that directly raises core revenue and margin expectations.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · AAPL · QCOM · SWKS · NVDA
Higher AI training, inference, and data-center spending would pressure free cash flow and margins; if guidance does not show faster monetization, valuation will come under pressure.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · AMD · DELL · ANET
The company itself is issuing a massive amount of equity to fund AI expansion, which directly creates dilution and lowers return-on-capital expectations, even if the AI spend may strengthen long-term competitiveness.
Also named: GOOGL · MSFT · NVDA · AMD · AVGO · VRT
The market had already priced in higher AI spending, but the downgrade highlights a thinner margin of safety, implying a larger-than-consensus drag on margins and buybacks from incremental capex.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · ASML · AMAT · MSFT
Markets already expect Meta to keep pouring money into AI and infrastructure; if the print shows strong ad growth but capex is eating free cash flow, the stock faces a valuation reset as a 'good results, bad returns' test.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · AVGO · AMD · CEG
With Meta already operating at massive scale, AI spending growing faster than revenue would likely be read as margin dilution rather than an incremental growth kicker.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · ANET · SMCI · AMD
- #9Impact4.5%AdverseDirectStock Market Today, Oct. 27: Meta Raises Largest-Ever Equity Offering to Nearly $98 Billion to Fund AI Infrastructure Bet17d ago
By lifting the financing size to nearly $98 billion, Meta is signaling a larger AI infrastructure spend than the market had assumed, which pressures free cash flow and buybacks in the near term.
Also named: GOOGL · MSFT · NVDA · AMD · AVGO · VRT
- #10Impact5%FavorableDirectMeta's stock rises as investors glimpse an opportunity that could dwarf the ad business23d ago
The key driver is a re-rating of Meta’s AI and compute platform option value, not just ad cash flow, so this is a valuation reset rather than near-term revenue recognition.
Also named: GOOGL · SNAP · NVDA · AMD · SMCI · AMZN
The rest, archived by time · 146
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $201.0B · latest quarter up 26.1% YoY · reported FY net income of $60.5B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$201.0B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+26.1%
FY net income
$60.5B
Diluted EPS
$23.98
Short-sale volume share
36%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 36.4% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-08-06SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 80/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$7.40 vs $6.52+13.5%
- Jun 2026$6.18 vs $7.10-12.96%
- Mar 2026$7.31 vs $6.71+8.94%
- Dec 2025$8.88 vs $8.21+8.16%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 4.4% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 6 upward revisions over the past four weeks. Analysts made 3 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $580.00–$1000.00 · Consensus $859.32
Buy / hold / sell 37 / 6 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:07.635Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $8.16 · $7.85–$8.55 · 11 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 6 / 3
Estimate dispersion 8.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:07.562Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $629.06
MA10 $622.31
MA20 $640.44
MA60 $660.88
Last completed-session close $623.61 (-0.82%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.42×
Prior 20-session range $583.80–$743.97 · MA20 change over five sessions -4.14% · CMF20 -0.35
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $743.97 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $583.80 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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