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MRNAModerna

$143.97+5.38%Real quote · delayedmRNA vaccinesPharma & biotech · 16 peers →

🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data

Annual revenue $1.9B · latest quarter up 2.1% YoY · not yet profitable (FY net loss $2.8B) · short activity within its normal range.

FY revenue

$1.9B

2025-12

Latest Q YoY

+2.1%

FY net loss

$2.8B

Diluted EPS

$-7.26

Short volume

61.1%

20d avg 58.2% · normal

🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)

The parties below hold over 5% of this company and disclosed it to the SEC (mandatory in US markets). "Activist" filers state an intent to influence the company; "Passive" are pure investment positions.

🎯 Market expectations

Expectation reliability Low · 35/100

Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline

There is no clear consensus on this stock (thin coverage or wide disagreement) — 'beating expectations' means little here.

Next quarter (Sep 2026) consensus-$1.08Estimate range -$1.35 ~ -$0.76 · 7 analystsRevisions (4w):21
History: actual vs consensusavg +39%
  • Jun 2026-$1.97 vs -$1.970%
  • Mar 2026-$1.18 vs -$3.02+60.93%
  • Dec 2025-$2.11 vs -$2.60+18.85%
  • Sep 2025-$0.51 vs -$2.15+76.28%

Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice

🧭 +5.4% today with no fresh news · why?

  • 📊 Market+1.6%S&P +0.9% × beta 1.9
  • 💸 Money flowMFI 45 · net outflow · volume 0.5× average
  • 🔀 PeersBNTX +0.3%MRK -0.5%LLY -0.7%PFE +0.3%NVAX +1.3%Peers are mixed today — this move looks more stock-specific.
  • 🕰️ Old news, still digesting Merck, Moderna Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Couldstructural impact active, ~36 days left
  • 🕰️ Old news, still digesting Investors Should Position For Humanoid Robot Boostructural impact active, ~36 days left
  • Remainder~+3.8% has no clear driver = market noise. Moves without reasons are normal — don't force a story.

Educational decomposition · not investment advice

What's moving this stock lately

2 direct · 0 2nd-order · 0 thematic

Ranked by impact strength · strength = estimated move × freshness decay (shorter-lived effects decay faster)

🕰️ Price × news · engine report card

Drag to pan, scroll to zoom · real daily bars and volume

The 17 engine calls on this chart (hit / miss / pending) are Pro — price and volume only for nowvolume

📜 Call history (newest first

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17 engine calls on this stock — each with direction, magnitude and its verified outcome · sign up to view

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