Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $135.34 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $174.53 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
MRVL -8.42% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average -6.53% (ADI, AMD, ARM, AVGO, CRDO, GFS)
2026-11-13T16:17:17.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
11 direct · 22 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact4.5%FavorableDirectAI Trade in Full Focus: AAPL & PLTR Earnings Ahead, MRVL Buying LITE, SPCX Eyes Boost Mobile11d ago
A successful LITE acquisition would deepen Marvell’s high-speed interconnect and optical component capabilities, directly supporting AI data-center switching and custom silicon ecosystems, with synergies more visible over the medium term.
Also named: LITE · AAOI · CREE · PLTR · SNOW · DDOG
- #2Impact5.5%FavorableDirectMRVL Taps Into AI Infrastructure Growth: What's Next for Investors?22d ago
Marvell directly benefits from the AI data-center capex cycle; a rising mix of custom ASIC and switching/interconnect revenue should lift revenue and margin expectations.
Also named: AVGO · ANET · NVDA · AMAT · LRCX · ASML
MRVL is already priced for AI custom silicon and networking growth; confirmation on AI ASIC and 800G/1.6T demand would keep the revenue re-rating in place.
Also named: LITE · AAPL · QCOM · SWKS · PLTR · AVAV
Its data-center connectivity, switching and custom silicon businesses are directly leveraged to AI networking upgrades, improving order visibility and the long-term revenue run-rate.
Also named: CRDO · ANET · AVGO · AAOI · OUST · CSCO
A Lumentum acquisition would let Marvell bundle optical components with its chip and connectivity solutions for data-center customers, strengthening the vertical-integration story for AI interconnects, but the move is still preliminary and should be priced conservatively.
Also named: LITE · COHERENT · APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS · AVGO · ANET
- #6Impact2.8%Favorable2nd-orderMeta Q3: Non-Recurring Charge Hit GAAP Earnings, Q4 Capex Will Jump Sharply19d ago
Higher spending on data-center interconnects, custom silicon and high-speed networking lifts orders for infrastructure-chip suppliers such as Marvell.
Also named: META · GOOGL · SNAP · PINS · NVDA · ANET
- #7Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderCredo and Oracle Drive AI Optical Innovation: Is CRDO Set to Benefit?8d ago
Marvell benefits from AI networking upgrades through data-center interconnect and custom silicon, with greater order leverage.
Also named: CRDO · COHR · LITE · CIEN · ORCL · MSFT
- #8Impact3%FavorableDirectIntel, Marvell, CoreWeave, TSMC, Apple, and More Stocks That Explain Today's Market29d ago
Marvell is a key beneficiary in AI networking and custom silicon, so continued rotation into AI infrastructure names can lift both order expectations and valuation.
Also named: TSM · INTC · AAPL · CRWV · NVDA · AMZN
- #9Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderCredo Stock: A $600 Million Opportunity With Something To Prove13d ago
Demand for high-speed interconnect and datacenter chips moves together; further AI rack spending should also benefit Marvell's DSP and optical-interconnect exposure.
Also named: CRDO · AVGO · ANET · SMCI · DELL · HPE
- #10Impact2.2%Favorable2nd-orderMeta's AI Revolution Has Wall Street Excited — And Worried About The Bill21d ago
AI data-center expansion increases demand for high-speed interconnects and custom silicon, which can benefit Marvell through Ethernet and optical connectivity.
Also named: NVDA · ANET · SMCI · QCOM · AMD · AVGO
The rest, archived by time · 23
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $8.2B · latest quarter up 36.5% YoY · reported FY net income of $2.7B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$8.2B
2026-01
Latest Q YoY
+36.5%
Gross margin
51%
FY net income
$2.7B
Diluted EPS
$3.1
Short-sale volume share
29%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 35.6% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-05SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
- 2026-07-31SCHEDULE 13G/AVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
- 2026-07-29SCHEDULE 13G/ABlackRock, Inc.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 86/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$0.62 vs $0.65-4.62%
- Apr 2026$0.59 vs $0.61-3.28%
- Jan 2026$0.66 vs $0.62+6.45%
- Oct 2025$0.62 vs $0.58+6.9%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $175.00–$450.00 · Consensus $323.63
Buy / hold / sell 24 / 5 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:23.790Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.79 · $0.74–$0.82 · 12 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 1
Estimate dispersion 10.1%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:23.724Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $156.69
MA10 $161.66
MA20 $198.30
MA60 $230.03
Last completed-session close $164.45 (-2.58%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.71×
Prior 20-session range $132.54–$253.66 · MA20 change over five sessions -11.45% · CMF20 -0.18
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $253.66 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $132.54 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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