Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $112.41 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $127.28 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:01:24.000Z
VIX 19.792026-11-13T18:01:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T18:06:28.000Z
Market and sector reference
NEM +0.23% · SPY -0.79% · Peer average -1.17% (AA, AEM, CLF, FCX, GOLD, MLM)
2026-11-13T18:14:29.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
29 direct · 36 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact7%FavorableDirectGold demand remains near record highs as central bank buying surges 42% – WGC10d ago
As one of the world's largest gold miners, Newmont has substantial earnings leverage to higher gold prices across a large revenue base.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · AEM
- #2Impact5.5%FavorableDirectGold climbs above $4,000, Wall Street rallies as Dems take Congress - Kitco PM Report9d ago
As one of the world’s largest gold miners, every incremental rise in gold prices quickly flows through to revenue and free cash flow.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · GOLD
- #3Impact5%FavorableDirectGold climbs above $4,100 as falling yields, softer labor costs support bullion - Kitco AM Report8d ago
NEM is one of the largest gold miners globally, and higher bullion prices materially improve portfolio profitability.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · AEM
As one of the world's largest gold miners, every uptick in gold prices leverages into revenue and cash flow.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · OUNZ · AEM
- #5Impact4.6%FavorableDirectGold at $4,000 ‘looks very attractive' to a mine builder who started at $140, Robert Quartermain8d ago
As a global large-cap gold miner, higher realized gold prices directly expand Newmont’s unit margins and free cash flow, while also lifting the discounted value of its reserves.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · OUNZ · AEM
Newmont relies heavily on gold pricing, so a spot pullback directly lowers realized prices per ounce and margins.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · BAR · AEM
- #7Impact4.5%FavorableDirectGold prices hit $4,000 as Democrats see electoral Sweep to gain control of Congress10d ago
As a global major gold miner, Newmont has high operating leverage to bullion prices, and a higher spot price directly improves its revenue and free-cash-flow outlook.
Also named: AAAU · GLD · IAU · AEM · GOLD · AUX
Higher gold prices directly improve realized prices and free cash flow; miners are the cleanest earnings lever to bullion.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · OUNZ · DGL · DGP
- #9Impact5.8%FavorableDirectWar in Iran, higher energy prices are only delaying gold's rally to $5,000; mining stocks remain undervalued – Gabelli22d ago
As one of the world's largest gold miners, NEM has high operating leverage to gold prices and stronger free-cash-flow recovery potential.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · OUNZ
- #10Impact4.1%Favorable2nd-orderWorld Bank sees gold holding above $4,000 through 2028, but warns silver faces steeper correction8d ago
Newmont has large gold output, so a higher gold-price floor boosts operating leverage and free cash flow.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · GOLD · AEM
The rest, archived by time · 55
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $22.7B · latest quarter up 15.2% YoY · reported FY net income of $7.1B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$22.7B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+15.2%
Gross margin
8%
FY net income
$7.1B
Diluted EPS
$6.41
Short-sale volume share
52.8%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 43.1% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 49/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$2.20 vs $1.94+13.4%
- Jun 2026$2.10 vs $2.05+2.44%
- Mar 2026$2.90 vs $2.07+40.1%
- Dec 2025$2.52 vs $2.03+24.14%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 20% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 3 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $115.00–$165.00 · Consensus $139.21
Buy / hold / sell 12 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:18:31.392Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.97 · $1.71–$2.25 · 5 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 3
Estimate dispersion 27.4%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:18:29.352Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $119.43
MA10 $115.81
MA20 $115.02
MA60 $120.18
Last completed-session close $112.64 (-4.92%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 1.26×
Prior 20-session range $104.51–$127.28 · MA20 change over five sessions +0.84% · CMF20 0.12
Confirmation to watch: a close above $127.28 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $104.51 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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