Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $510.30 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $558.00 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.14%2026-11-13T18:01:24.000Z
VIX 19.792026-11-13T18:01:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.392026-11-13T18:06:28.000Z
Market and sector reference
NOC -0.47% · SPY -0.79% · Peer average -0.83% (BA, GD, GE, HWM, LHX, LMT)
2026-11-13T18:13:31.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 5 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.4%Favorable2nd-orderGold, silver extend weekly losses as Hormuz tensions push crude above $116 - Kitco PM Report21d ago
Higher defense demand improves Northrop Grumman's medium-term order outlook.
Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · DGL · DGP
- #2Impact1.6%Favorable2nd-orderHow Elon Musk's SpaceX triggered an $11 billion earnings shock for Alphabet16d ago
If investors read SpaceX-related demand as signaling stronger space launch and satellite infrastructure spending, traditional defense and space contractors gain substitution-order expectations.
Also named: GOOGL · GOOG · TSLA · AMZN · MSFT · LMT
- #3Impact1.3%Favorable2nd-orderAlphabet Opens Fresh Euro Bond Sales; Trump Weighs Iran Diplomacy; Countdown to Midterms11d ago
Higher Middle East uncertainty tends to reinforce expectations for missile defense, ISR and long-range strike demand.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · XOM · CVX · SLB · DAL
- #4Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderMarkets rise, but SpaceX and Tesla stocks fall, after Dems take back the House and Senate. Here's why9d ago
If commercial-space policy becomes more cautious, traditional primes can gain relative share in mission-critical and launch-adjacent programs.
Also named: SPCX · LMT · TSLA · RIVN · LCID · MBLY
Northrop Grumman’s platform and mission systems programs depend on multi-year budget commitments, so a funding gap weakens the valuation anchor for new awards.
Also named: LMT · RTX · AVAV · PLTR · LHX · ONDS
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $42.0B · latest quarter up 6.7% YoY · reported FY net income of $4.2B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$42.0B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+6.7%
FY net income
$4.2B
Diluted EPS
$29.14
Short-sale volume share
29.6%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 36.1% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-08-12SCHEDULE 13G/ACapital International Investors
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 68/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$7.89 vs $7.22+9.28%
- Jun 2026$7.68 vs $6.84+12.28%
- Mar 2026$6.14 vs $6.08+0.99%
- Dec 2025$7.23 vs $7.00+3.29%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 6.5% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 3 upward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $430.00–$765.00 · Consensus $623.44
Buy / hold / sell 9 / 6 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:16:57.690Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $7.97 · $7.79–$8.18 · 5 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 3 / 2
Estimate dispersion 4.9%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:16:56.624Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $542.56
MA10 $542.65
MA20 $543.30
MA60 $524.16
Last completed-session close $549.13 (-0.33%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.68×
Prior 20-session range $496.59–$575.55 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.55% · CMF20 -0.01
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $575.55 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $496.59 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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