Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $148.80 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $194.90 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:08:54.000Z
VIX 20.222026-11-13T16:08:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.362026-11-13T16:14:00.000Z
Market and sector reference
NVDA -4.56% · SPY -1.13% · Peer average -7.05% (ADI, AMD, ARM, AVGO, CRDO, GFS)
2026-11-13T16:17:05.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
166 direct · 274 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
1 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact6.5%FavorableDirectBig Tech's AI bill meets a 'Big Cash Burn' issue: are investors' fears justified?13d ago
The buildout of AI training and inference directly lifts demand for GPUs and related networking products, and NVIDIA remains the core beneficiary of this compute cycle.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · AMZN · META · AMD · AVGO
- #2Impact5.8%FavorableDirectMicrosoft and Amazon combine for a $400 billion market-cap boost — and these factors show why9d ago
Microsoft and Amazon are among the largest buyers of AI GPUs, and cloud expansion plus inference demand should keep shipping expectations for Hopper/Blackwell elevated.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · AMD · AVGO · SMCI
- #3Impact5.8%FavorableDirectBig Tech Just Tried to Borrow More Than $35 Billion in a Single Day10d ago
Meta and Oracle's AI/cloud capex ultimately flows into GPUs and accelerators, making NVIDIA the most direct beneficiary of incremental compute spending.
Also named: SMCI · DELL · HPE · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC
Hyperscalers are still converting AI budgets into GPU cluster purchases, and Nvidia remains one of the clearest direct beneficiaries of that spending.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · ANET · AMD · AVGO
As a top cloud and AI compute buyer, Google's continued data center expansion implies sustained demand for GPUs and networking accelerators, directly supporting NVIDIA's data center revenue.
Also named: SMCI · DELL · AVGO · ANET · CIEN · ETN
Alphabet is a major hyperscale customer; higher penetration of custom silicon would reduce the market’s assumed share for NVIDIA in hyperscale AI training and inference.
Also named: AVGO · AMD · GOOG · GOOGL · AMZN · MSFT
- #7Impact7.2%FavorableDirectThis Week's Tech Earnings Could Be a ‘Validation Moment' for the AI Trade25d ago
If AI training and inference budgets keep expanding, GPUs remain the core destination for capex, supporting both order momentum and valuation through tight supply.
Also named: AMD · AVGO · MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL · SMCI
- #8Impact5.5%FavorableDirectStock Market Today, Oct. 27: Meta Raises Largest-Ever Equity Offering to Nearly $98 Billion to Fund AI Infrastructure Bet17d ago
Meta is one of the largest AI compute buyers, and a larger financing package points to stronger GPU procurement and cluster deployment demand.
Also named: META · GOOGL · MSFT · AMD · AVGO · VRT
The piece explicitly frames NVDA as the arbiter of the agentic and physical-AI compute economy, implying its GPUs, networking and software stack remain the default destination for industry capex; combined with its scale and high gross margins, that supports a valuation premium.
Also named: AMD · ASML · AMAT · LRCX · MU · SKHYN
AI training and inference remain the most direct demand drivers; with a heavy mix of data-center revenue, NVIDIA should keep commanding an AI-driven valuation premium.
Also named: GOOGL · GOOG · MSFT · EWJ · EWY · EWZ
The rest, archived by time · 430
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $215.9B · latest quarter up 105.9% YoY · reported FY net income of $120.1B · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$215.9B
2026-01
Latest Q YoY
+105.9%
Gross margin
71.1%
FY net income
$120.1B
Diluted EPS
$4.93
Short-sale volume share
25.9%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 35% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 85/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$2.22 vs $2.09+6.22%
- Apr 2026$1.87 vs $1.70+10%
- Jan 2026$1.57 vs $1.45+8.28%
- Oct 2025$1.24 vs $1.18+5.08%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 7.4% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $170.00–$390.00 · Consensus $254.84
Buy / hold / sell 27 / 10 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:24:04.565Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $2.49 · $2.34–$2.70 · 13 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 0
Estimate dispersion 14.5%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:24:04.471Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $174.82
MA10 $186.92
MA20 $201.25
MA60 $216.15
Last completed-session close $166.19 (-4.34%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 4.49×
Prior 20-session range $165.89–$222.19 · MA20 change over five sessions -5.82% · CMF20 -0.01
- Heavy-volume decline; selling pressure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $222.19 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $165.89 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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