PCARPaccar
$105.85-0.45%Delayed market dataHeavy trucksMachinery & diversified industrials · 16 peers →Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $101.66 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $108.85 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
PCAR -0.45% · SPY -1.01% · Peer average -1.41% (CARR, CAT, CMI, DE, EMR, ETN)
2026-11-13T16:50:01.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 6 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderTesla poised to scale production of heavy-duty Semi trucks with opening of Nevada factory50d ago
Kenworth/Peterbilt lead North American Class 8; Tesla Semi ramp poses long-term substitution competition
Also named: TSLA · NKLA · PANW
- #2Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderTesla set to formally roll out Semi electric trucks at Nevada event50d ago
As a North American heavy-truck leader, PACCAR faces long-term share erosion from a scaling Semi
Also named: TSLA · CMI
- #3Impact0.7%Adverse2nd-orderStock Market Today, Sept. 25: Tesla Stock Under Pressure Despite Plans to Ramp Semi Truck Production49d ago
The traditional truck leader faces long-term share erosion risk as Tesla ramps electric truck output
Also named: TSLA · 6752.T · RIVN · NKLA · DTG.DE
- #4Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderTesla begins delivering Semi trucks to customers after years of delays49d ago
Its Kenworth and Peterbilt brands dominate North American Class 8; a scaling Semi threatens PACCAR's electrification runway
Also named: TSLA · NKLA
- #5Impact0.8%Adverse2nd-orderTesla Announces Semi Event For September 24. Here's What Investors Need to Know78d ago
As the leading traditional heavy-truck maker (Kenworth/Peterbilt), PACCAR faces a long-term competitive threat from Tesla's Semi ramp, though near-term market share impact is minimal
Also named: TSLA · CMI · JBHT · ODFL
- #6Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderTesla finally moves to electrify trucking after a decade of work and delays49d ago
As parent of Kenworth/Peterbilt, PACCAR leads the North American Class 8 market and faces long-term share erosion from a scaling Tesla Semi.
Also named: TSLA · NKLA · CMI
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $28.4B · latest quarter up 19% YoY · reported FY net income of $2.4B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$28.4B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+19%
FY net income
$2.4B
Diluted EPS
$4.52
Short-sale volume share
53.5%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 46.1% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 56/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$1.61 vs $1.610%
- Jun 2026$1.43 vs $1.33+7.52%
- Mar 2026$1.15 vs $1.13+1.77%
- Dec 2025$1.06 vs $1.060%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $113.00–$150.00 · Consensus $125.10
Buy / hold / sell 5 / 4 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:50:55.065Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.69 · $1.55–$1.93 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 2
Estimate dispersion 22.5%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:50:51.819Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $105.55
MA10 $104.51
MA20 $105.70
MA60 $113.55
Last completed-session close $106.33 (-1.66%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.59×
Prior 20-session range $100.07–$112.71 · MA20 change over five sessions -0.74% · CMF20 -0.09
Confirmation to watch: a close above $112.71 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $100.07 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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