Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $119.11 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $124.34 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
PRU +0.11% · SPY -1.01% · Peer average +0.31% (AIG, ALL, CB, MET, PGR, TRV)
2026-11-13T16:48:53.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
2 direct · 0 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.5%FavorableDirectPrudential Financial Details $3B Capital Rotation, PGIM Growth and $750M Cost Plan57d ago
The $750M cost cut and $3B rotation directly improve ROE and capital efficiency, but the impact is modest and a 10.8% average beat is already priced in—this is structural optimisation, not an earnings jump.
Also named: MET · LNC
Prudential's long-duration liabilities mean new investments are reinvested at higher yields, improving spread income.
Also named: USB · JPM · WFC · CB · KIE · MET
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $60.8B · latest quarter down 19.2% YoY · reported FY net income of $3.6B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$60.8B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
-19.2%
FY net income
$3.6B
Diluted EPS
$10.05
Short-sale volume share
65.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 68.6% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-10SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 67/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$3.77 vs $3.31+13.9%
- Jun 2026$4.08 vs $3.47+17.58%
- Mar 2026$3.61 vs $3.24+11.42%
- Dec 2025$3.30 vs $3.37-2.08%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 10.2% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 6 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $5.26–$136.00 · Consensus $108.30
Buy / hold / sell 1 / 9 / 3
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:51:02.767Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $2.99 · $2.83–$3.09 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 6
Estimate dispersion 8.7%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:50:59.542Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $122.01
MA10 $121.27
MA20 $118.44
MA60 $117.76
Last completed-session close $122.41 (-0.51%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.49×
Prior 20-session range $112.84–$128.78 · MA20 change over five sessions +1.73% · CMF20 0.04
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $128.78 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $112.84 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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