Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $159.11 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $183.40 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
QCOM +0.32%
2026-11-12T21:00:00.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
10 direct · 65 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
2 duplicate reports of the same events merged
- #1Impact6.5%AdverseDirectQualcomm Says December Won't Be Its Biggest Quarter Anymore as Apple Walks Away8d ago
iPhone modem and RF content is one of Qualcomm’s most important high-margin growth drivers; Apple’s shift to in-house silicon implies a gradual loss of that revenue stream and a lower valuation multiple on the Apple franchise.
Also named: SWKS · QRVO · AAPL · AVGO · AMAT
- #2Impact3.2%FavorableDirectApple Squeezed These Chip Suppliers for Years. AI Is Helping Them Get Even.15d ago
Rising on-device AI requirements lift handset SoC specs and content value, supporting higher ASPs for Qualcomm in premium Android and modem content.
Also named: ASML · AMAT · LRCX · TSM · NVDA · AMKR
If Apple maintains solid shipments and premium-model mix, visibility on modem and licensing revenue improves for Qualcomm.
Also named: AAPL · SONY · AVGO · TSM · GOOGL · SPOT
Cockpit and in-vehicle digital platform upgrades increase adoption odds for Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Auto compute platforms, and stronger QNX penetration usually signals a broader software-defined vehicle trend.
Also named: BB · AAPL · NXPI · STM
- #5Impact2.3%AdverseDirectApple faces growing iPhone demand concerns as delivery wait times shrink, UBS warns28d ago
A lower iPhone shipment outlook typically leads investors to trim assumptions for modem and patent-licensing revenue tied to Apple devices.
Also named: AAPL · SSNLF · XIACY · AVGO · TSM · 2382.TW
- #6Impact1.5%FavorableDirectMarvell Technology: Qualcomm Just Entered Its AWS Territory, But The Buy Case Still Holds59d ago
Qualcomm diversifies into data-center AI silicon, offsetting reliance on its declining handset chipset business (revenue down 4% YoY)
Also named: MRVL · AVGO · AMZN
- #7Impact1.6%Favorable2nd-orderGoogle is bringing a more personal version of its Gemini AI assistant to your car24d ago
An expanding Android in-car ecosystem supports Qualcomm’s penetration in cockpit and connectivity chips.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · AAPL · NVDA · HARM
- #8Impact2.8%Adverse2nd-orderStock Market Today, Oct. 30: Intel Plunges Nearly 29% as Weak Outlook Rattles Wall Street14d ago
If Intel’s downgrade ripples into weaker PC demand and softer OEM confidence, Qualcomm’s push in Windows-on-ARM and notebook chips can also face a more cautious replenishment cycle.
Also named: INTC · AMD · MU · TSM · ASML · AMAT
If Apple keeps moving Macs deeper onto its own silicon and system integration, dependence on external CPU/SoC vendors falls further, limiting upside for outside suppliers.
Also named: AAPL · HPQ · 000725.SZ · 2382.TW · 3008.TW · DELL
- #10Impact1.5%FavorableDirectApple's $1,999 iPhone Duo puts the company's status-symbol power to the test28d ago
If flagship specifications rise, baseband and RF complexity increases, which can lift Qualcomm’s content value in Apple’s handset chain.
Also named: AAPL · SAMSUNG · 0700.HK · 2317.TW · 2382.TW · NVDA
The rest, archived by time · 65
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $43.1B · latest quarter down 4% YoY · reported FY net income of $13.6B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$43.1B
2026-09
Latest Q YoY
-4%
FY net income
$13.6B
Diluted EPS
$12.81
Short-sale volume share
55.6%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 51.3% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-10SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 62/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$1.45 vs $1.46-0.68%
- Jun 2026$1.53 vs $1.54-0.65%
- Mar 2026$1.95 vs $1.90+2.63%
- Dec 2025$2.80 vs $2.800%
The takeaway
The average EPS surprise in the quarters shown is small. Positive and negative surprises can offset each other, so review each quarter separately. Analysts made 5 downward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $150.00–$320.00 · Consensus $191.22
Buy / hold / sell 4 / 13 / 2
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:16.935Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.35 · $1.26–$1.54 · 8 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 5
Estimate dispersion 20.7%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:15.875Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $172.82
MA10 $168.54
MA20 $173.28
MA60 $176.22
Last completed-session close $177.14 (+0.32%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.64×
Prior 20-session range $148.25–$185.59 · MA20 change over five sessions -0.39% · CMF20 0.15
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $185.59 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $148.25 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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