Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $14.87 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $19.13 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T17:56:24.000Z
VIX 19.682026-11-13T17:56:16.000Z
Dollar index 103.402026-11-13T18:01:25.000Z
Market and sector reference
RIOT -2.61%
2026-11-13T17:13:13.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 1 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact4.8%Adverse2nd-orderCircle Sinks 12%, Coinbase and Strategy Tumble 10% as Bitcoin Slide Hits Crypto Stocks8d ago
Riot’s revenue and payback economics are highly dependent on Bitcoin’s price, so weaker BTC compresses mining margins and valuation.
Also named: COIN · HOOD · MSTR · MARA · CRCL · PYPL
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $647M · latest quarter up 0.7% YoY · reported FY net loss of $663M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$647M
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+0.7%
FY net loss
$663M
Diluted EPS
$-1.95
Short-sale volume share
43.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 54.3% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-06SCHEDULE 13G/AJANE STREET GROUP, LLC
- 2026-08-06SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 37/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$0.01 vs -$0.34+102.94%
- Jun 2026-$0.68 vs -$0.39-74.36%
- Mar 2026-$1.44 vs -$0.33-336.36%
- Dec 2025-$2.03 vs -$0.22-822.73%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $19.00–$50.00 · Consensus $33.86
Buy / hold / sell 14 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T18:14:43.090Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $-0.31 · $-0.52–$-0.06 · 8 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 3 / 2
Estimate dispersion 148.4%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T18:14:41.038Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $17.71
MA10 $15.74
MA20 $14.63
MA60 $18.40
Last completed-session close $17.83 (-2.46%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.89×
Prior 20-session range $11.63–$19.13 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.79% · CMF20 0.08
- Long upper wick; rally rejected
Confirmation to watch: a close above $19.13 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $11.63 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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