Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $187.71 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $204.27 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
RTX -1.46%
2026-11-12T21:00:02.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
1 direct · 7 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact2.7%Favorable2nd-orderFrench company Thales reports 8% higher 9-month sales led by arms spending23d ago
Rising global air-defence demand benefits the radar and interceptor systems chain; while not a direct play, the market trades the same sector upcycle.
Also named: THLEF · THLLY · LHX · SAAB-B.ST · RHM.DE · BA.L
- #2Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderAlphabet's Golden Dome Talks Could Open a New Market, But How Much Is at Stake?10d ago
If the program extends into sensors, interceptors and air-defense systems, diversified defense primes like RTX could capture part of the hardware and integration spend.
Also named: GOOG · GOOGL · MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · PLTR
RTX spans missiles, defense electronics and aerospace platforms, so any delay in budget conversion hits order visibility and program execution timing.
Also named: LMT · AVAV · PLTR · LHX · NOC · ONDS
- #4Impact1.7%Favorable2nd-orderPalantir: AI In Production While Everyone Else Is Still Piloting26d ago
Defense electronics and sensor data require AI fusion and processing, which increases spending on digital defense systems.
Also named: PLTR · MSFT · CRM · LMT · AMZN · GOOGL
- #5Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderHere's Why IonQ Is a Buy After Its Air Force Award (and Why It Isn't)8d ago
A broader lift in defense electronics and communications budgets helps the wider defense-tech supply chain, though the link to quantum awards is limited.
Also named: IONQ · RGTI · QBTS · LMT
A continued preference for aerospace structures often also signals a more constructive valuation backdrop across the broader aerospace supply chain.
Also named: CRDO · NVDA · LRCX · CRWD · MSFT · NOW
As the original losing bidder on TITAN, RTX faces continued underscoring of its share disadvantage in Army intelligence systems as Palantir advances delivery, though this competitive dynamic has been in place for years.
Also named: PLTR · LDOS
- #8Impact0.7%Favorable2nd-orderThe Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) Discusses Strategic Investments, Defense Partnerships and Acquisition to Strengthen Tungsten Supply Chain Transcript60d ago
Similarly reliant on tungsten-based materials for munitions and precision components, benefiting from reduced supply disruption risk
Also named: ELMT · AII.TO · 600549.SH · LMT · USAR
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $88.6B · latest quarter up 11.1% YoY · reported FY net income of $6.7B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$88.6B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+11.1%
Gross margin
3.8%
FY net income
$6.7B
Diluted EPS
$5.02
Short-sale volume share
51.3%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 43.1% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 68/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$2.26 vs $1.78+26.97%
- Jun 2026$1.89 vs $1.66+13.86%
- Mar 2026$1.78 vs $1.52+17.11%
- Dec 2025$1.55 vs $1.46+6.16%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 16% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 3 upward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $208.00–$250.00 · Consensus $232.23
Buy / hold / sell 10 / 4 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:52:26.800Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.82 · $1.80–$1.83 · 5 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 3 / 2
Estimate dispersion 1.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:52:24.704Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $197.15
MA10 $198.25
MA20 $196.32
MA60 $195.58
Last completed-session close $198.36 (-1.46%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.67×
Prior 20-session range $185.31–$205.62 · MA20 change over five sessions +1.46% · CMF20 0.03
- Low-volume pullback within an improving structure
Confirmation to watch: a close above $205.62 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $185.31 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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