Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $4.85 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $5.43 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:34:44.000Z
VIX 20.092026-11-13T16:34:46.000Z
Dollar index 103.352026-11-13T16:39:52.000Z
Market and sector reference
SNAP +0.86% · SPY -1.01% · Peer average -0.39% (DASH, EBAY, GOOG, GOOGL, META, PINS)
2026-11-13T16:40:12.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
3 direct · 28 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
A social platform heavily reliant on ad revenue faces long-term risk of user attention being diverted to AI assistants.
Also named: META · ROBO · THNQ · NVDA · TTD · PINS
Advertisers shifting budgets to Meta's more efficient AI creative tools puts Snap's ad share at risk
Also named: META · PINS · SSTK · GETY · OMC · WPP
As the sole defendant, Snap now faces higher settlement/damages exposure and a longer legal overhang; with a much smaller market cap and thinner earnings buffer than Meta, the marginal impact is larger.
Also named: META · GOOG · TTD
Meta's intact ecosystem advantage will keep pressuring Snapchat's share of advertiser budgets
Also named: META · GOOGL · AMZN · AAPL · PINS
- #5Impact2.5%Adverse2nd-orderMark Zuckerberg Lays Out His Vision: Muse AI Agent Fused With Smartglasses51d ago
Meta's push to fuse AI agents with glasses directly rivals Snap's Spectacles, heightening competitive pressure in the AR glasses category
Also named: META · EL.PA · QCOM · AAPL · NVDA · AVGO
- #6Impact1%Adverse2nd-orderMeta Will Offer Up to $95 Billion in Stock. What That Means for Its Big AI Push.18d ago
Talent competition across ad platforms can lift hiring and retention costs for smaller internet names, which have thinner profit cushions.
Also named: META · GOOGL · NVDA · AVGO · AMD · AAPL
- #7Impact2%Adverse2nd-orderMeta's Muse agent is attacking one of the economy's most profitable weak spots47d ago
SMB advertisers are more likely drawn to Meta's stronger self-serve AI tools, squeezing Snap's ad-budget share.
Also named: META · WPP · OMC · IPG · ADBE · PINS
Cheaper capital lets Meta keep investing in ad tech and content ecosystems, which can further squeeze the pricing power and growth runway of smaller social-ad platforms.
Also named: META · GOOGL · MS · GS · JPM · NVDA
Meta's expanding smart-glasses ecosystem poses a long-term competitive threat to Snap's Spectacles and AR social positioning.
Also named: META · XLUX.PA · QCOM · GOOGL
- #10Impact0.9%Adverse2nd-orderHe beat Big Tobacco. Will the same playbook work against Meta and social media?75d ago
As another platform reliant on high-frequency teen engagement, Snap faces spillover risk from the same litigation strategy targeting the industry
Also named: META · PINS
The rest, archived by time · 21
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $5.9B · latest quarter up 14.3% YoY · reported FY net loss of $460M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$5.9B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+14.3%
FY net loss
$460M
Diluted EPS
$-0.27
Short-sale volume share
25.1%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 38.2% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-08-06SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 32/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$0.03 vs -$0.01+400%
- Jun 2026-$0.10 vs -$0.08-25%
- Mar 2026-$0.05 vs -$0.06+16.67%
- Dec 2025$0.03 vs -$0.02+250%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $5.00–$8.00 · Consensus $6.54
Buy / hold / sell 2 / 18 / 1
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:50:53.990Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.08 · $0.03–$0.14 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 3 / 1
Estimate dispersion 137.5%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:50:51.910Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $5.11
MA10 $5.30
MA20 $5.74
MA60 $5.68
Last completed-session close $5.22 (-2.25%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.65×
Prior 20-session range $4.85–$6.59 · MA20 change over five sessions -5.14% · CMF20 0.01
Confirmation to watch: a close above $6.59 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $4.85 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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