Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $438.01 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $470.35 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
SNPS -0.09%
2026-11-13T14:30:17.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 8 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.4%Favorable2nd-orderMicrosoft says AI agents are like insider threats as ‘frontier models can't be trusted'25d ago
If enterprises place more emphasis on model validation and security testing, automated verification and security tooling demand should rise, though the linkage is weaker.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · GOOGL · PANW · CRWD · ZS
Rising AI-chip complexity increases demand for EDA tools and verification services, but the transmission is slower through the design chain and the company is not a direct headline beneficiary.
Also named: INTC · MRVL · QCOM · AMD · AAPL
- #3Impact1.6%Adverse2nd-orderNvidia Plunges 9% as AI Selloff Wipes Out $2.3 Trillion | Closing Bell8d ago
If advanced-chip project schedules are seen as slowing, expectations for incremental EDA demand are trimmed modestly.
Also named: NVDA · TSM · ASML · SMCI · DELL · ANET
- #4Impact1%Favorable2nd-orderPHP armageddon: OpenAI, Google's Wiz find ancient holes, panicking the internet23d ago
Demand for code scanning, software composition analysis and secure-development tooling should increase; the benefit is longer-dated, but the direction is clear.
Also named: GOOG · MSFT · AMZN · CRWD · PANW · FTNT
Stable Apple ecosystem rules imply mobile development demand and toolchain spending continue on a familiar path, indirectly supporting development-tool vendors.
Also named: AAPL · GOOGL · META · ADBE · ANET · TLT
- #6Impact0.7%Favorable2nd-orderAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts18d ago
Stronger advanced-chip design activity typically means more simulation, verification, and IP demand, which supports Synopsys sentiment.
Also named: AMD · NVDA · INTC · SMCI · DELL · HPE
If Apple deepens custom silicon and end-device integration, demand for complex SoC and hardware-software co-design can support the EDA ecosystem over the medium term.
Also named: AAPL · SONY · HPQ · GOOGL · AMZN · MSFT
Wider UCIe adoption drives demand for chiplet design EDA tools and IP licensing, with Synopsys as a key supplier.
Also named: AMD · INTC · MRVL · TSM · AMKR
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $7.1B · latest quarter up 42.4% YoY · reported FY net income of $1.3B · short-sale volume share above its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$7.1B
2025-10
Latest Q YoY
+42.4%
Gross margin
77%
FY net income
$1.3B
Diluted EPS
$8.13
Short-sale volume share
52.7%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 42.8% · above recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 69/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$2.85 vs $2.66+7.14%
- Apr 2026$2.40 vs $2.24+7.14%
- Jan 2026$2.69 vs $2.43+10.7%
- Oct 2025$1.90 vs $1.44+31.94%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 14.2% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $420.00–$700.00 · Consensus $587.76
Buy / hold / sell 17 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:37.069Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $3.09 · $2.85–$3.18 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 1 / 0
Estimate dispersion 10.7%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:35.035Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Mixed structure
MA5 $460.44
MA10 $460.20
MA20 $458.17
MA60 $440.10
Last completed-session close $462.69 (+0.12%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.79×
Prior 20-session range $417.60–$491.39 · MA20 change over five sessions -1.64% · CMF20 0.09
Confirmation to watch: a close above $491.39 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $417.60 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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