TLT20+Y Treasury ETF (TLT)

Ranked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.

• 🔥🔥🔥#1Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderIs the U.S. losing its safe-haven status? Why global central banks are pulling gold out of New York.68d ago

  If reserve diversification extends beyond gold to Treasuries, marginal demand for long-dated U.S. debt weakens

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · IAU · AAAU · GLDM · OUNZ · DGL

• 🔥🔥#2Impact3%AdverseDirectThe Fed Just Hiked Rates for the First Time Since 2023. 3 AI Stocks That Could Feel It Most53d ago

  The rate hike directly lifts long-end yields, pushing down the price of long-duration bonds

  Impact chain →

  Also named: NVDA · ORCL · AMZN · AMD · AVGO · TSM

• 🔥#3Impact1.6%Favorable2nd-orderGold climbs above $4,000, Wall Street rallies as Dems take Congress - Kitco PM Report9d ago

  If gold is rising because real yields are falling, long-duration Treasuries usually benefit as well, though the linkage is indirect and the move should be modest.

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · IAUF · NEM

• #4Impact1.5%FavorableDirectBooking Profit, Sales Fall as Global Conflicts Wear on Travel Demand10d ago

  Weaker growth expectations and stronger risk aversion usually support long-duration Treasuries.

  Impact chain →

  Also named: BKNG · EXPE · ABNB · HLT · MAR · WH

• #5Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderCentral Banks Accelerated Gold Buying in Third Quarter10d ago

  If central banks keep adding gold reserves, marginal demand for long-duration U.S. Treasury reserve assets may soften.

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · OUNZ · NEM

• #6Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderWorld Bank sees gold holding above $4,000 through 2028, but warns silver faces steeper correction8d ago

  High gold prices often coincide with stronger safe-haven allocation, offering modest support to long-duration Treasuries, though the linkage is weaker than for gold itself.

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · IAU · GLDM · AAAU · NEM · GOLD

• #7Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderBuy CVX and XOM Amid Solid Q3 Earnings and Surging Crude Oil Prices11d ago

  Higher crude prices can lift inflation expectations, which typically दब the price of long-duration Treasuries as markets reprice a higher real-rate path.

  Impact chain →

  Also named: CVX · XOM · OXY · MPC · SLB · HAL

• #8Impact0.5%Adverse2nd-orderChina's central bank buys 20.2 tonnes of gold in August, largest purchase since 202366d ago

  Reserve diversification into gold marginally reduces incremental official-sector demand for long-dated Treasuries

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · IAU · AAAU · GLDM · OUNZ · NEM

• #9Impact1%Adverse2nd-orderThe Fed raised rates and gold didn't break: Here's why56d ago

  The ongoing hiking cycle continues to pressure long-duration bond prices, contrasting with gold's resilience in an asset-rotation narrative

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · AAAU · IAU · USO · BTC · NEM

• #10Impact0.5%Adverse2nd-orderDutch Central Bank Cuts Gold Reserves in U.S., Citing ‘Geopolitical Unrest'71d ago

  As an indirect proxy for the de-dollarization narrative, long-duration Treasuries see a slight marginal erosion in appeal as a reserve asset

  Impact chain →

  Also named: GLD · AAAU · IAU · GLDM · OUNZ · NEM