🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $94.8B · latest quarter up 25.5% YoY · profitable (FY net income $3.8B) · short activity within its normal range.
FY revenue
$94.8B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+25.5%
Gross margin
18%
FY net income
$3.8B
Diluted EPS
$1.18
Short volume
59.9%
20d avg 54% · normal
🐋 5%+ ownership filings (last 180d)
The parties below hold over 5% of this company and disclosed it to the SEC (mandatory in US markets). "Activist" filers state an intent to influence the company; "Passive" are pure investment positions.
- 2026-06-17passive (13G)Musk Elon
- 2026-04-30passive (13G)VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
- 2026-03-27passive (13G)VANGUARD GROUP INC
🎯 Market expectations
Expectation reliability Medium · 49/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · the pre-news baseline
- Jun 2026$0.04 vs $0.32-87.5%
- Mar 2026$0.18 vs $0.21-14.29%
- Dec 2025$0.31 vs $0.34-8.82%
- Sep 2025$0.37 vs $0.41-9.76%
The takeaway
It has missed by -30.1% on average recently; expectations have been marked down repeatedly.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
What's moving this stock lately
25 direct · 11 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by impact strength · strength = estimated move × freshness decay (shorter-lived effects decay faster)
- #1▲2.28%DirectOptimus Just Entered Production at Fremont. Here's What Changes for Tesla Investors.16d ago
The humanoid story underpins Tesla's premium; Optimus hitting production strengthens the bull case, but with the stock missing estimates ~30% on average over four quarters, upside is capped.
Also named: 002050.SZ · 601689.SH · 603728.SH · NVDA
- #2▲1.97%DirectTesla's 2026 Capital Budget Skyrocketed to $25 Billion, With a Lot Going to Scaling Up Optimus13d ago
The $25B capex heavily aimed at Optimus boosts the robotics valuation narrative, but weighs on already-thin margins and free cash flow—a mixed signal.
Also named: 601689.SH · 002050.SZ · 300124.SZ · 603728.SH · NVDA
- #3▼1.65%DirectIn A SpaceX-Tesla Merger, Elon Musk May Be The Big Winner. What It May Mean For Other Investors.2d ago
If a merger were structured favorably for Musk, it could dilute existing shareholders; combined with Tesla's average EPS miss of -30.1% over the last four quarters, fundamentals are already under pressure
Also named: RIVN · SPCX · RKLB · ASTS
- #4▼1.18%DirectTesla Vs. Alphabet's Waymo: Battle Of The Robotaxi Behemoths Post Cybercab Launch3d ago
The piece questions whether Tesla's camera-only FSD stack can safely scale to driverless ops as fast as Waymo, and the Cybercab launch itself is already priced in
Also named: GOOGL · UBER · LYFT · NVDA · MBLY
- #5▲1.1%DirectElon Musk Is Expanding Tesla's Robotaxi Network Beyond Austin and Miami. Here's Why That's Important for the Future Success of the Stock.16d ago
Expansion validates the robotaxi commercialization path, but since it was previewed before, much of this is already priced in; also Tesla has missed EPS estimates by an average of 30.1% over the past four quarters, raising fundamental doubts
Also named: UBER · LYFT · NVDA · GOOGL
- #6▼1.06%DirectFriday's Final Takeaways: U.S. Jobs Surge, TSLA Under Scrutiny, AAPL Set to Shine8d ago
Heightened regulatory scrutiny adds to legal/compliance risk premium, and with only medium-reliability EPS consensus and a historical average miss of 30%, the market is more sensitive to negative headlines
Also named: AAPL · 2317.TW · SWKS · QCOM · RIVN · LCID
Cybercab road debut adds to the autonomy monetization story, but with four straight EPS misses (avg -30%) the market remains skeptical on execution; largely a sentiment move.
Also named: GOOGL · UBER · LYFT · NVDA · MBLY
- #8▲1%DirectTesla Just Put Driverless Cybercabs on Austin Streets but Bettors Are Pricing a SpaceX Merger at Nearly 50%8d ago
Expanded driverless Cybercab service validates robotaxi progress, but the Austin pilot expansion was largely anticipated, limiting incremental upside
Also named: UBER · LYFT · GOOGL · SPCX · RKLB · ASTS
Robotaxi commercialization pace is viewed as a key valuation support, and timeline uncertainty amplifies risk concerns
Also named: RIVN · LCID · GM · GOOGL
Waymo's head start highlights the risk that Cybercab's commercialization timeline lags behind, undermining market confidence in the robotaxi contribution baked into Tesla's valuation.
Also named: GOOGL · GOOG · UBER · LYFT
The rest, archived by time · 26
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