Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $367.95 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $416.80 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
TSM -1.86%
2026-11-13T15:00:50.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
32 direct · 112 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact4.5%FavorableDirectIntel vs. Taiwan Semiconductor: The AI Boom Is Telling Two Very Different Stories11d ago
AI chip foundry work, advanced packaging, and leading-edge nodes remain the core growth engines; the article reinforces expectations that TSMC will continue capturing AI orders from customers such as Nvidia and AMD.
Also named: ASML · AMAT · INTC · NVDA · AMD
- #2Impact4.1%FavorableDirectAMD Forecasts 66% Q4 Growth on AI Chip Demand: Rapid Earnings Reaction10d ago
AMD's AI growth ultimately translates into more advanced-node wafer and packaging orders, and TSMC is one of its most important manufacturing partners.
Also named: AMD · NVDA · MU · ASX · 000660.KS · SMCI
If Intel’s internal manufacturing repair goes better than feared, its reliance on external advanced-node foundry capacity falls, trimming incremental outsourcing expectations for TSMC.
Also named: AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · SMIC · AMD · NVDA
- #4Impact4.2%FavorableDirectApple Squeezed These Chip Suppliers for Years. AI Is Helping Them Get Even.15d ago
Demand for higher-performance SoCs and advanced packaging supports TSMC's leading-edge utilization and CoWoS capacity.
Also named: ASML · AMAT · LRCX · NVDA · AMKR · AAPL
A large portion of AMD’s high-end chips rely on TSMC’s leading-edge nodes and packaging capacity, so a guidance raise can lift expectations for orders and utilization.
Also named: AMD · NVDA · INTC · QCOM · ASML · AMAT
- #6Impact4.5%FavorableDirectThe Foundry Disconnect: Intel Nails the Transistor, But TSMC Holds the Keys to Yield and Scale.21d ago
As the benchmark for advanced-node mass production and yield management, TSMC should benefit from the market linking ‘can make it’ with ‘can scale it,’ reinforcing customer stickiness and pricing power.
Also named: ASML · AMAT · INTC · GFS
- #7Impact5.5%FavorableDirectTSMC posts record profit for a sixth straight quarter, beating estimates on AI boom30d ago
TSMC directly reported record profit and a sixth straight beat, indicating that advanced-node and AI-linked orders are still ramping strongly.
Also named: 2330.TW · UMC · AMAT · LRCX · ASML · 3711.TW
- #8Impact3%Adverse2nd-orderWall Street Veteran Dumps Most of His NVIDIA Stake, Warns of AI Spending Slowdown11d ago
Nvidia-related GPUs and AI accelerators are a major source of advanced-node demand, so investors may worry about a marginal slowdown in order growth.
Also named: AMAT · LRCX · NVDA · SMCI · ANET · MSFT
The article directly spotlights TSMC, with the core thesis being that 2nm ramp and customer adoption will further cement its advanced-node leadership and support ASPs and gross margins.
Also named: TSMWF · ASML · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC · 2317.TW
Intel’s setbacks reinforce customer reliance on TSMC’s advanced nodes and execution reliability, supporting share-gain expectations.
Also named: INTC · 005930.KS · AMAT · LRCX · ASML · KLAC
The rest, archived by time · 134
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
Short-sale volume share
19.7%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 31.5% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-10-27SCHEDULE 13GBlackRock, Inc.
Company financial data is currently unavailable from our feed.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Medium · 65/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Sep 2026$4.60 vs $4.45+3.37%
- Jun 2026$4.31 vs $3.87+11.37%
- Mar 2026$3.49 vs $3.31+5.44%
- Dec 2025$3.14 vs $2.82+11.35%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 7.9% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction. Analysts made 5 upward revisions over the past four weeks.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $500.00–$670.00 · Consensus $563.75
Buy / hold / sell 9 / 0 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:33.184Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $5.17 · $4.87–$5.52 · 6 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 5 / 0
Estimate dispersion 12.6%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:38:33.114Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $395.88
MA10 $393.78
MA20 $409.55
MA60 $428.23
Last completed-session close $405.49 (-1.90%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.74×
Prior 20-session range $351.19–$440.88 · MA20 change over five sessions -2.57% · CMF20 -0.16
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $440.88 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $351.19 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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