Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $13.65 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $16.19 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
UMC -3.71% · SPY -0.92% · Peer average -6.53% (ADI, AMD, ARM, AVGO, CRDO, GFS)
2026-11-13T16:39:39.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
0 direct · 6 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact1.5%Adverse2nd-orderTSMC posts record profit for a sixth straight quarter, beating estimates on AI boom30d ago
If leading-edge demand keeps concentrating at TSMC, pricing power and customer migration opportunities in mature-node foundry work may be further constrained.
Also named: TSM · 2330.TW · AMAT · LRCX · ASML · 3711.TW
If capital and orders keep concentrating at the most advanced nodes, relative demand for mature-node foundries can be sidelined, favoring leading-edge players over weaker mature-node fabs.
Also named: ASML · KLAC · AMAT · NVDA · AVGO · AMD
- #3Impact1.2%Adverse2nd-orderNvidia Plunges 9% as AI Selloff Wipes Out $2.3 Trillion | Closing Bell8d ago
While its direct linkage to Nvidia is limited, a broader semiconductor sentiment reset tends to weigh on mature-node valuations.
Also named: NVDA · TSM · ASML · SMCI · DELL · ANET
- #4Impact1.1%Adverse2nd-orderAMD Tumbles 13%, NVIDIA Slides 7% as AI Regulation Fears Hit Chip Stocks; Intel Sinks 8%8d ago
UMC has limited direct AI exposure, but a weaker semiconductor tape can still spill over into expectations for mature-node demand.
Also named: NVDA · AMD · INTC · AVGO · SMCI · DELL
- #5Impact0.9%Favorable2nd-orderAMD Posts Q3 Double Beat as Data Center Segment Shines, Growth Expected to 'Accelerate' in Q410d ago
While exposure is less direct than for leading-edge foundries, a better industry tape supports pricing and utilization sentiment across foundries.
Also named: AMD · NVDA · SMCI · AMAT · LRCX · ASML
- #6Impact0.8%Adverse2nd-orderIf AI Spending Slows in 2027, These Semiconductor Stocks Could Hold Up Best14d ago
If the broader semiconductor cycle softens from cooling AI investment, mature-node conditions would also weaken, though with less beta than advanced nodes.
Also named: AMAT · LRCX · NVDA · AMD · AVGO · TSM
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
Short-sale volume share
34.2%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 49.6% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Company financial data is currently unavailable from our feed.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 19/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$0.21 vs $0.23-8.7%
- Jun 2026$0.54 vs $0.16+237.5%
- Mar 2026$0.20 vs $0.12+66.67%
- Dec 2025$0.13 vs $0.12+8.33%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $0.19 · $0.19–$0.19 · 1 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 0 / 1
Estimate dispersion 0.0%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:42.311Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $15.12
MA10 $15.45
MA20 $17.34
MA60 $20.62
Last completed-session close $15.76 (-1.99%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.65×
Prior 20-session range $13.32–$20.97 · MA20 change over five sessions -9.07% · CMF20 -0.17
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $20.97 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $13.32 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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