Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Hold and monitor; no addition yet
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $118.86 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $136.73 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:29:34.000Z
VIX 20.122026-11-13T16:29:31.000Z
Dollar index 103.342026-11-13T16:34:40.000Z
Market and sector reference
VST -2.64% · SPY -1.01%
2026-11-13T16:47:58.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
2 direct · 21 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
- #1Impact4%FavorableDirectGoogle Is Buying Half a Nuclear Plant's Output Through 2049. Cheap Power Just Became the Real AI Moat.64d ago
Owns nuclear and gas fleets; data-center power demand lifts prices and offtake appetite, directly benefiting its generation portfolio.
Also named: CEG · TLN · NEE · GOOGL · GOOG · MSFT
- #2Impact2.7%Adverse2nd-orderNasdaq futures tumble as Amazon, Intel results deepen AI spending woes14d ago
Some power names already price in the data-center electricity growth story; if AI capex enthusiasm cools, the associated valuation premium can unwind.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · INTC · NVDA · AMD
- #3Impact2.3%Favorable2nd-orderBig Tech Just Tried to Borrow More Than $35 Billion in a Single Day10d ago
Rising industrial and data-center demand improves power sellers' pricing power and contract lock-ins.
Also named: NVDA · SMCI · DELL · HPE · AMAT · LRCX
- #4Impact2%Favorable2nd-orderMicrosoft and Amazon combine for a $400 billion market-cap boost — and these factors show why9d ago
Rising power demand and data-center growth typically support retail power and generation assets.
Also named: MSFT · AMZN · ORCL · NVDA · AMD · AVGO
- #5Impact2.5%Favorable2nd-orderOpenAI to Spend $750 Billion on Compute by 2030 — But It's Short on Capacity65d ago
Surging data center power demand benefits Vistra as a nuclear and gas generator, with expectations for expanded long-term power purchase agreements
Also named: NVDA · AVGO · MU · ORCL · CRWV · MSFT
- #6Impact3%Favorable2nd-orderGoogle's $4 Billion Fuel-Cell Project Puts Bloom Energy's AI Power Backlog to the Test29d ago
If investors reprice the AI power shortage, companies with existing generation assets and dispatchable power benefit from greater scarcity value.
Also named: BE · PLUG POWER · FUELCELL ENERGY · CEG · SEDG · ENPH
- #7Impact2.2%Favorable2nd-orderMeta Plans $35 Billion Stock Offering to Power AI Buildout, Eyes $95 Billion Total Plan18d ago
Rising datacenter load boosts demand for wholesale power and long-term supply agreements.
Also named: NVDA · AMD · ANET · VRT · SMCI · TSM
- #8Impact2%Favorable2nd-orderNVDA Hugging Face Deal: AI Efficiency Ramp Sees Security, Power Headwinds66d ago
Highlighted power supply gaps benefit generators via rising demand for long-term power purchase agreements
Also named: NVDA · P-HUGG · TSM · AMD · CEG · GEV
- #9Impact1.8%Favorable2nd-orderSpaceX, Anthropic and Nvidia Help Snap Tech Stocks Out of Their Recent Malaise23d ago
Rising data center load increases demand for dependable generation, supporting Vistra's power sales and capacity value.
Also named: NVDA · AVGO · AMD · SMCI · DELL · HPE
- #10Impact1.2%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon Q3 Earnings: A $220 Billion Bet Wall Street Doesn't Understand15d ago
AI buildout raises long-term electricity demand expectations, prompting a re-rating of scarce baseload power assets.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL · NVDA · ANET
The rest, archived by time · 13
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $17.6B · latest quarter up 25.4% YoY · reported FY net income of $944M · short-sale volume share below its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$17.6B
2025-12
Latest Q YoY
+25.4%
FY net income
$944M
Diluted EPS
$2.22
Short-sale volume share
18%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 41% · below recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
🐋 Ownership filings (last 180 days)
Recent 13D/13G beneficial ownership filings, which may include amendments. A filing does not establish a recent purchase or a current holding, and its form type alone does not establish investment intent. Read the original filing for details.
- 2026-11-05SCHEDULE 13G/AFMR LLC
- 2026-08-07SCHEDULE 13GSTATE STREET CORP
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score Low · 30/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
This data has a low context score. Analyst coverage, disagreement, or revisions may limit its usefulness. Review the estimate range and underlying data.
- Sep 2026$3.23 vs $2.94+9.86%
- Jun 2026$1.80 vs $1.54+16.88%
- Mar 2026$2.87 vs $2.21+29.86%
- Dec 2025$2.18 vs $2.51-13.15%
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $169.00–$255.00 · Consensus $199.07
Buy / hold / sell 15 / 0 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:48:28.631Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Dec 2026) $1.94 · $1.35–$2.25 · 4 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 1
Estimate dispersion 46.4%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:48:28.456Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Downtrend structure
MA5 $131.57
MA10 $130.36
MA20 $138.24
MA60 $142.63
Last completed-session close $134.51 (+0.79%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.49×
Prior 20-session range $110.89–$158.74 · MA20 change over five sessions -4.49% · CMF20 -0.13
- Distribution-like weak closes (inference)
Confirmation to watch: a close above $158.74 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $110.89 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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