Key levels and trade conditions
Delayed quotes · Technical conditionsShowing the near-term range, based on the latest 5 completed sessions and updated after each close.
Above the breakout line; await close and volume confirmation
Signals require closing-price and volume confirmation; review the company research below before acting.
When does defense take priority?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close below $123.03 → consider reducing
When to consider adding?
Close beyond this level with session volume ≥ 1.5× the previous 20 completed sessions’ average.
Confirmed close above $127.66 → consider a staged addition
01Newstock overall assessment
The conclusion first, followed by the evidence that matters most.
Watch — await combined confirmation. An entry assessment has not yet been established.
02What happened recently
Company events, industry developments and market conditions — facts separated from possible explanations.
US 10Y yield 5.13%2026-11-13T16:23:04.000Z
VIX 20.652026-11-13T16:23:01.000Z
Dollar index 103.332026-11-13T16:28:11.000Z
Market and sector reference
WMT +1.05%
2026-11-13T15:30:49.000Z · Yahoo · Aligned-session reference, not a causal attribution.
Related news and impact paths
Recent news related to this stock
5 direct · 11 2nd-order · 0 thematicRanked by model assessment and recency. Labels use the original model impact, not expected returns. Impact percentages are model estimates, not observed price changes, probabilities or guaranteed returns.
Walmart Connect’s ad growth also depends on on-site search and product merchandising; if AI agents move the decision point off-platform, Walmart’s ad impressions and conversion efficiency could weaken.
Also named: AMZN · MNSO · GOOGL · META · TTD · MSFT
- #2Impact2.6%FavorableDirectAmazon and Walmart Are Turning Retail Efficiency Into Someone Else's Expense29d ago
With its scale and supplier dependence, WMT can capture the most direct margin upside if it keeps converting efficiency gains into lower landed costs and stronger bargaining power.
Also named: AMZN · MELI · TGT · COTY · NKE · PDD
- #3Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon and Uber Want to Bring You Your Next Meal. The Delivery Turf War Is Escalating.8d ago
As Amazon pushes harder into high-frequency local delivery, Walmart may be forced to lean further into membership and grocery-at-home services to defend the daily shopping gateway, which could ultimately sharpen its omnichannel edge.
Also named: DASH · GRAB · AMZN · UBER · LYFT · MCD
- #4Impact1.5%Favorable2nd-orderInflation Is Running Above 3%. These 3 Dividend Stocks Have the Pricing Power to Keep Up.9d ago
While not a branded goods maker, WMT’s scale purchasing and low-price positioning help it attract traffic and defend share during inflation.
Also named: PG · CL · KMB · KO · PEP · MNST
- #5Impact2.2%FavorableDirectAmazon Ads: The E-Commerce Search Monolith vs. Walmart Connect: The In-Store Data Goldmine28d ago
Walmart’s store footprint and membership purchase data are the core assets behind Walmart Connect, and stronger ad monetization provides a clearer margin backstop for the low-margin retail core.
Also named: AMZN · MELI · TGT · COST · MSFT
- #6Impact0.8%AdverseDirectAmazon, Walmart Face New AI Shopping Test: Will Chatbots Recommend Them?31d ago
Walmart's smaller e-commerce and ad business faces a similar long-term structural risk of shopping intent being intercepted by AI assistants, though exposure is smaller than Amazon's
Also named: AMZN · TGT · MSFT · GOOGL · SHOP
- #7Impact2%FavorableDirectAmazon Blocked Meta's Shopping Bot, So Zuckerberg Cut A Deal With Amazon's Biggest Rival50d ago
Named as Meta's AI shopping-agent commerce partner, gaining potential traffic from Instagram/Facebook/WhatsApp to bolster its e-commerce push against Amazon
Also named: AMZN · META · SHOP
- #8Impact1.1%Favorable2nd-orderAmazon vs. Target: One Is Riding the AI Boom, While the Other Faces a Consumer Spending Squeeze9d ago
Compared with Target, Walmart’s price advantage and grocery defensiveness make it better positioned to absorb trading-down demand.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · TGT · COST · TJX
If some brands reallocate promotional budgets across retail channels, Walmart's own retail media business could benefit from the shift.
Also named: AMZN · EBAY · SHOP · GOOGL · META · TTD
If Amazon strengthens fulfillment and member experience, traditional retail leaders are pushed to accelerate digital investment, lifting the sector’s valuation floor a bit.
Also named: AMZN · MSFT · GOOGL · META · COST · NVDA
The rest, archived by time · 6
03Is the company worth considering?
Business quality, financials, valuation and analyst disagreements.
🏛️ Company factsSEC filings + FINRA official data
Annual revenue $706.4B · latest quarter up 5.9% YoY · reported FY net income of $21.9B · short-sale volume share near its recent available-day average.
FY revenue
$706.4B
2026-01
Latest Q YoY
+5.9%
FY net income
$21.9B
Diluted EPS
$2.74
Short-sale volume share
44.1%
2026-11-05 · Recent available-day avg 44.4% · near recent average
Short-sale volume as a share of trades covered by the FINRA file, not all market trading or outstanding short positions. Changes do not establish that short sellers are adding or covering positions.
Historical results versus analyst expectations
🎯 Market expectations
Estimate context score High · 89/100Nasdaq analyst consensus · currently available data
- Jul 2026$0.81 vs $0.73+10.96%
- Apr 2026$0.66 vs $0.65+1.54%
- Jan 2026$0.74 vs $0.73+1.37%
- Oct 2025$0.62 vs $0.61+1.64%
The takeaway
EPS exceeded the corresponding consensus estimates by an average of 3.9% in the quarters shown. This is not a hurdle for the next report or a forecast of the stock's reaction.
Analyst estimates, not our forecast · not investment advice
Analyst consensus and disagreement
Target-price summary $110.00–$155.00 · Consensus $132.26
Buy / hold / sell 30 / 1 / 0
Nasdaq · Retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:41.626Z · The aggregate does not provide individual report dates or original theses. It does not establish undervaluation; no analyst rationale is inferred. Targets are not guaranteed outcomes.
Next-quarter EPS estimate (Oct 2026) $0.64 · $0.62–$0.66 · 12 analysts
Four-week estimate revisions: up / down 2 / 0
Estimate dispersion 6.3%
Nasdaq EPS forecasts · retrieved 2026-11-13T16:39:40.574Z04Is now a good time?
Trend, moving averages, volume and key price levels — not the decline alone.
Technical structure · Uptrend structure
MA5 $125.72
MA10 $126.15
MA20 $122.77
MA60 $112.56
Last completed-session close $126.19 (+0.41%) · Volume / prior 20-session average 0.76×
Prior 20-session range $116.63–$131.82 · MA20 change over five sessions +2.41% · CMF20 0.07
Confirmation to watch: a close above $131.82 with volume at least 1.5× the prior 20-session average. A heavy-volume break below $116.63 weakens the setup.
Completed daily candles only. Daily OHLCV cannot establish accumulation, shakeout or manipulation intent; CMF is a price/volume proxy, not actual fund flows. Thresholds are research rules, not validated success probabilities. Yahoo · 2026-11-12
Price and news
Historical prices and volume. Drag to pan; scroll to zoom.
Related news
05What would change our assessment?
Conditions for reconsidering entry and developments that invalidate the thesis.
Complete the company and technical cross-check before defining entry and invalidation conditions.
Additional risk evidence and model detail
Market View
Crowding
Risk temperature
Tail risk
Triggers
Price and volume
Insider signals
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